Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/19 Game 1
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+52.0pt). The game was decided in East 3: Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +32.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -3.5 | -2.3 | +6.5 | -0.7 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 22% | 24% | 28% | 26% | +1.0 | -7.4 | +8.6 | -2.1 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 22% | 19% | 36% | 24% | +0.2 | -30.7 | +32.4 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 16% | 4% | 63% | 17% | +19.0 | +0.2 | -0.5 | -18.7 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 4,000 | 27% | 3% | 62% | 8% | -1.3 | +7.7 | +1.7 | -8.0 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 24% | 4% | 67% | 5% | +2.7 | -4.3 | -17.3 | +19.0 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 4,000 | 33% | 5% | 49% | 14% | -3.3 | -8.9 | -1.4 | +13.6 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go | 30% | 1% | 47% | 21% | +13.6 | -2.7 | -8.2 | -2.7 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 50% | 0% | 33% | 17% | -16.8 | -0.7 | +31.5 | -14.0 |