Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/19 Game 1
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+52.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +33.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 27% | -5.5 | +0.8 | +7.8 | -3.1 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 20% | 26% | 30% | 24% | +1.1 | -10.0 | +8.3 | +0.5 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 21% | 20% | 34% | 25% | -1.6 | -30.3 | +32.8 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 14% | 4% | 64% | 18% | +19.6 | +1.5 | -1.2 | -19.9 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 4% | 63% | 10% | +2.3 | +6.7 | +0.6 | -9.6 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 26% | 4% | 66% | 5% | +1.3 | -1.9 | -19.4 | +19.9 |
| South 2 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 4,000 | 34% | 7% | 46% | 14% | -3.4 | -11.6 | +2.2 | +12.9 |
| South 3 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi | 30% | 1% | 48% | 21% | +14.2 | -2.2 | -10.9 | -1.2 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 51% | 0% | 31% | 18% | -17.3 | -0.8 | +33.7 | -15.6 |