Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/19 Game 2
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+84.7pt). The game was decided in East 1: Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +32.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -17.4 | -7.3 | -7.6 | +32.3 |
| East 2 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 18% | 19% | 51% | -4.7 | -9.7 | -8.6 | +23.0 |
| East 3 | Kana Nakada ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki | 7% | 9% | 10% | 75% | -6.2 | +8.3 | -3.5 | +1.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 9% | 8% | 78% | +4.6 | -1.7 | -2.6 | -0.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 2,000 from Kana Nakada | 5% | 9% | 6% | 80% | -2.2 | -8.6 | +1.1 | +9.7 |
| South 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% | +6.2 | -21.0 | +3.1 | +11.7 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 18,000 from Kana Nakada | 0% | 0% | 1% | 98% | -3.9 | -28.2 | +34.4 | -2.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 2,600 from Masato Hagiwara | 0% | 0% | 7% | 94% | 0.0 | +0.5 | -6.0 | +5.5 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +1.9 | -1.5 | -2.1 | +1.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -1.1 | -0.7 | -0.5 | +2.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +1.2 | -1.1 | +0.5 | -0.6 |