Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/19 Game 2
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+84.7pt). The game was decided in East 1: Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +34.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -16.9 | -12.1 | -5.0 | +34.0 |
| East 2 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 16% | 20% | 53% | -4.6 | -7.3 | -9.4 | +21.4 |
| East 3 | Nakada Kana ron 2,000 from Suzuki Yu | 8% | 9% | 10% | 73% | -7.3 | +8.0 | -5.0 | +4.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 5% | 9% | 6% | 80% | +4.9 | -1.6 | -0.8 | -2.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 2,000 from Nakada Kana | 6% | 8% | 6% | 79% | -2.2 | -8.3 | -0.2 | +10.7 |
| South 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana | 1% | 3% | 3% | 93% | +6.8 | -21.2 | +3.8 | +10.6 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 18,000 from Nakada Kana | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -4.7 | -27.7 | +34.9 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 2,600 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 0% | 7% | 93% | -0.5 | +0.5 | -6.2 | +6.1 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +2.6 | -1.7 | -2.4 | +1.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.6 | -0.9 | -0.9 | +2.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +0.5 | -0.8 | +0.7 | -0.4 |