Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/22 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+54.8pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +44.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 26% | +32.1 | -11.2 | -10.7 | -10.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 49% | 17% | 16% | 18% | -15.1 | -9.6 | +33.4 | -8.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 34% | 13% | 39% | 14% | -4.6 | +2.7 | -2.8 | +4.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 1,300 from Nikaido Aki | 30% | 14% | 39% | 17% | -1.1 | -7.5 | +10.1 | -1.6 |
| East 3 | Takamiya Mari ron 5,200 from Okada Sayaka | 29% | 10% | 46% | 15% | +2.5 | -0.8 | -14.7 | +13.0 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari | 32% | 10% | 34% | 23% | +2.4 | +12.2 | +3.1 | -17.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 35% | 15% | 38% | 13% | -1.5 | +6.8 | -3.9 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 36% | 19% | 33% | 12% | -3.0 | +15.1 | -0.3 | -11.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 30% | 30% | 33% | 8% | -6.2 | -7.8 | +30.4 | -16.4 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 15% | 15% | 68% | 2% | +44.5 | -3.0 | -41.0 | -0.5 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 80% | 9% | 9% | 2% | -6.7 | -7.2 | -7.2 | +21.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 1,100 | 74% | 9% | 8% | 9% | +12.9 | -7.8 | +8.7 | -13.9 |