Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/23 Game 1
Maki Asami finished 1st (+74.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Maki Asami tsumo 18,000, which moved Maki Asami's expected points by +51.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,900 from Maki Asami | 25% | 27% | 24% | 25% | +6.9 | -0.2 | -6.8 | +0.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi | 30% | 25% | 20% | 25% | -32.5 | -2.0 | +2.5 | +32.1 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 22% | 18% | 50% | +2.6 | -5.4 | +2.7 | +0.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 17% | 21% | 51% | -3.0 | +4.2 | +2.0 | -3.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 18,000 | 9% | 21% | 22% | 48% | -14.4 | -15.1 | +51.0 | -21.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 8% | 67% | 22% | -6.8 | +24.9 | -11.5 | -6.6 |
| East 4 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 2,000 from Rio Tojyo | 3% | 23% | 55% | 19% | -1.4 | +4.5 | +4.3 | -7.4 |
| South 1 | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 24% | 61% | 13% | -8.5 | +14.0 | -3.5 | -2.0 |
| South 2 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 5,800 from Maki Asami | 1% | 35% | 54% | 11% | -0.1 | +18.4 | -18.8 | +0.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 62% | 28% | 10% | -2.9 | -17.4 | +26.8 | -6.5 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 31% | 63% | 6% | -1.1 | -4.7 | +4.6 | +1.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Maki Asami ron 9,600 from Rio Tojyo | 0% | 24% | 70% | 6% | +1.1 | -6.6 | +20.8 | -15.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 5,200 from Go Kobayashi | 0% | 4% | 94% | 1% | -7.4 | -0.7 | 0.0 | +8.1 |
| South 4 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 6,400 from Rio Tojyo | 0% | 2% | 97% | 1% | -0.1 | +8.2 | +2.0 | -10.1 |