Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/23 Game 1
Asami Maki finished 1st (+74.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Asami Maki tsumo 18,000, which moved Asami Maki's expected points by +50.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,900 from Asami Maki | 25% | 26% | 24% | 24% | +7.6 | -2.7 | -6.6 | +1.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 31% | 24% | 20% | 24% | -35.8 | +1.0 | +0.7 | +34.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 9% | 21% | 18% | 52% | +4.8 | -6.5 | +6.1 | -4.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 10% | 17% | 23% | 50% | -2.2 | +5.2 | -0.4 | -2.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Asami Maki tsumo 18,000 | 10% | 21% | 22% | 47% | -13.5 | -15.4 | +50.5 | -21.6 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 10% | 65% | 22% | -9.1 | +23.6 | -10.1 | -4.3 |
| East 4 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 2,000 from Tojyo Rio | 3% | 22% | 56% | 20% | -1.6 | +5.2 | +4.0 | -7.6 |
| South 1 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 24% | 62% | 12% | -7.9 | +13.6 | -3.0 | -2.7 |
| South 2 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 5,800 from Asami Maki | 0% | 35% | 55% | 10% | +0.1 | +20.3 | -21.1 | +0.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Asami Maki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 64% | 25% | 11% | -2.8 | -19.2 | +27.5 | -5.5 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 31% | 63% | 6% | -1.2 | -5.0 | +5.3 | +0.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Asami Maki ron 9,600 from Tojyo Rio | 0% | 23% | 71% | 7% | +1.8 | -6.0 | +20.8 | -16.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 5,200 from Kobayashi Go | 0% | 5% | 94% | 1% | -8.2 | -0.8 | 0.0 | +8.9 |
| South 4 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 6,400 from Tojyo Rio | 0% | 2% | 97% | 2% | +0.1 | +8.5 | +1.9 | -10.4 |