Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/23 Game 2
Sugawara Hiroe finished 1st (+58.5pt). The game was decided in South 2: Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 12,000, which moved Sugawara Hiroe's expected points by +41.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -5.8 | -2.5 | -2.5 | +10.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 23% | 22% | 33% | -10.9 | +32.4 | -7.8 | -13.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 4,000 | 13% | 48% | 17% | 22% | -2.0 | -5.5 | +9.7 | -2.2 |
| East 3 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 44% | 22% | 21% | -6.5 | -7.7 | -12.4 | +26.7 |
| East 4 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 1,500 | 11% | 34% | 13% | 42% | -2.6 | -0.9 | -1.5 | +5.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 10% | 32% | 12% | 46% | +26.1 | -26.0 | +0.4 | -0.5 |
| South 1 | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 16% | 14% | 47% | -14.8 | -8.8 | +26.4 | -2.8 |
| South 2 | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 12% | 30% | 45% | -8.9 | -19.3 | +41.3 | -13.2 |
| South 3 | Draw | 2% | 1% | 79% | 18% | +3.3 | -0.3 | -0.2 | -2.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 1% | 0% | 85% | 14% | +28.1 | -13.7 | +7.3 | -21.7 |