Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/25 Game 1
Masatoshi Sarukawa finished 1st (+53.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori, which moved Masatoshi Sarukawa's expected points by +50.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 5,200 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -17.5 | +16.4 | -1.9 | +3.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 37% | 21% | 28% | +2.7 | +0.2 | +0.3 | -3.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 2,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 17% | 37% | 23% | 24% | +11.3 | -6.0 | -3.6 | -1.7 |
| East 3 | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 5,200 | 23% | 32% | 21% | 24% | +16.0 | -1.9 | -8.6 | -5.5 |
| East 4 | Arisa Date ron 8,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 35% | 30% | 14% | 20% | -24.9 | +1.4 | +23.9 | -0.4 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 17% | 32% | 30% | 20% | -26.3 | -2.4 | +0.6 | +28.1 |
| South 2 | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 4,000 | 4% | 28% | 28% | 40% | +7.7 | -6.1 | -2.2 | +0.6 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 23% | 28% | 43% | -1.5 | -7.1 | +6.4 | +2.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 8,000 from Arisa Date | 8% | 18% | 30% | 44% | +33.8 | -0.8 | -43.6 | +10.5 |
| South 4 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 20% | 14% | 5% | 61% | +50.9 | -37.7 | +10.8 | -24.0 |