Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/25 Game 1
Sarukawa Masatoshi finished 1st (+53.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Sarukawa Masatoshi's expected points by +51.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,200 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -16.1 | +17.0 | -2.8 | +1.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 15% | 39% | 21% | 25% | +4.2 | +0.2 | -1.5 | -2.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 2,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 17% | 38% | 21% | 24% | +11.0 | -6.1 | -2.5 | -2.4 |
| East 3 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 5,200 | 22% | 34% | 20% | 23% | +15.3 | -4.2 | -9.3 | -1.8 |
| East 4 | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 36% | 30% | 14% | 20% | -23.9 | +0.6 | +25.7 | -2.4 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 19% | 31% | 31% | 19% | -27.5 | +0.2 | +1.3 | +26.0 |
| South 2 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 4,000 | 4% | 29% | 30% | 37% | +8.5 | -6.9 | -5.8 | +4.2 |
| South 3 | Draw | 8% | 23% | 24% | 45% | -3.7 | -6.8 | +8.8 | +1.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 8,000 from Date Arisa | 5% | 18% | 32% | 44% | +34.1 | -0.6 | -43.7 | +10.1 |
| South 4 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 17% | 15% | 6% | 62% | +51.9 | -38.1 | +10.4 | -24.1 |