Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/25 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+63.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +35.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +30.6 | -2.2 | -27.3 | -1.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,900 from Watanabe Futoshi | 46% | 21% | 10% | 22% | +7.5 | +0.3 | -6.7 | -1.1 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 8,000 | 52% | 19% | 7% | 22% | -9.7 | +20.9 | -4.8 | -6.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 42% | 35% | 6% | 17% | -2.9 | -0.4 | -4.0 | +7.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 39% | 35% | 5% | 21% | -1.4 | +1.9 | -4.9 | +4.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 7,800 | 38% | 36% | 3% | 23% | -9.5 | -8.8 | -5.7 | +23.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 27% | 27% | 2% | 44% | +27.2 | +1.4 | -1.2 | -27.4 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 4,000 | 57% | 26% | 1% | 17% | -7.5 | +10.7 | -0.8 | -2.4 |
| South 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000 | 48% | 35% | 1% | 16% | -10.8 | -23.7 | -3.8 | +38.3 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,300 from Watanabe Futoshi | 32% | 14% | 1% | 53% | +6.5 | -3.1 | -4.2 | +0.8 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 37% | 10% | 0% | 53% | +35.8 | -10.1 | -1.2 | -24.4 |