Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/25 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+63.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +34.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 26% | 23% | 24% | 27% | +28.0 | +0.9 | -26.6 | -2.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,900 from Futoshi Watanabe | 47% | 21% | 10% | 22% | +8.4 | -0.9 | -7.5 | +0.1 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 53% | 19% | 7% | 21% | -12.1 | +21.2 | -4.8 | -4.3 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 41% | 35% | 6% | 19% | +0.6 | -3.5 | -2.5 | +5.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 42% | 31% | 5% | 21% | -3.8 | +6.7 | -6.0 | +3.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 7,800 | 37% | 38% | 3% | 22% | -8.7 | -10.9 | -6.3 | +25.8 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 28% | 26% | 2% | 44% | +26.9 | +0.3 | +1.1 | -28.3 |
| South 1 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 58% | 23% | 2% | 17% | -8.8 | +14.6 | -1.9 | -3.9 |
| South 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000 | 46% | 38% | 1% | 15% | -10.0 | -25.3 | -4.5 | +39.7 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,300 from Futoshi Watanabe | 32% | 15% | 1% | 52% | +7.6 | -5.0 | -3.4 | +0.8 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 38% | 9% | 0% | 53% | +34.8 | -8.7 | -1.5 | -24.6 |