Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2023-24 Regular Season

1/26 Game 1

Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+63.9pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +38.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 2South 1End● Mizuhara Akina● Matsugase Takaya● Uchikawa Kotaro● Ooi Takaharu0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3End● Mizuhara● Matsugase● Uchikawa● Ooi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMatsugase Takaya
1st-place chance
Mizuhara Akina
1st-place chance
Uchikawa Kotaro
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Matsugase Takaya
Expected pt change
Mizuhara Akina
Expected pt change
Uchikawa Kotaro
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
East 1Matsugase Takaya tsumo 4,80024%25%25%26%+14.8-4.8-4.4-5.6
East 1, 1 honbaOoi Takaharu tsumo 8,00034%23%23%21%-12.6-5.2-6.4+24.3
East 2Mizuhara Akina tsumo 6,00023%19%19%40%-5.3+15.0-4.6-5.1
East 2, 1 honbaDraw20%29%16%34%-6.0+1.2+1.1+3.6
East 2, 2 honbaMizuhara Akina tsumo 12,00018%29%17%37%-11.8+38.0-9.3-17.0
East 2, 3 honbaMatsugase Takaya ron 2,300 from Uchikawa Kotaro8%62%10%20%+11.3-0.1-11.9+0.8
East 3Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,500 from Matsugase Takaya13%63%5%19%-8.6-1.1+8.4+1.3
East 3, 1 honbaMizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro9%62%9%20%+1.2+6.8-8.5+0.6
East 4Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Mizuhara Akina8%70%5%17%-0.5-2.5+5.9-2.9
South 1Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu9%70%5%16%-1.4+17.6+1.4-17.6
South 2Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina1%91%3%4%-1.1-13.0+22.2-8.1
South 3Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,500 from Ooi Takaharu3%82%10%5%-1.0+1.3+3.4-3.7
South 3, 1 honbaMizuhara Akina tsumo 2,0002%84%9%5%-0.7+8.0-2.6-4.7
South 4Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu0%96%1%3%+29.5+1.9-12.0-19.4

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)