Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/26 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+63.9pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +38.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 4,800 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +14.8 | -4.8 | -4.4 | -5.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 34% | 23% | 23% | 21% | -12.6 | -5.2 | -6.4 | +24.3 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 6,000 | 23% | 19% | 19% | 40% | -5.3 | +15.0 | -4.6 | -5.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 20% | 29% | 16% | 34% | -6.0 | +1.2 | +1.1 | +3.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 29% | 17% | 37% | -11.8 | +38.0 | -9.3 | -17.0 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 2,300 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 8% | 62% | 10% | 20% | +11.3 | -0.1 | -11.9 | +0.8 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,500 from Matsugase Takaya | 13% | 63% | 5% | 19% | -8.6 | -1.1 | +8.4 | +1.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 9% | 62% | 9% | 20% | +1.2 | +6.8 | -8.5 | +0.6 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Mizuhara Akina | 8% | 70% | 5% | 17% | -0.5 | -2.5 | +5.9 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 9% | 70% | 5% | 16% | -1.4 | +17.6 | +1.4 | -17.6 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 1% | 91% | 3% | 4% | -1.1 | -13.0 | +22.2 | -8.1 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,500 from Ooi Takaharu | 3% | 82% | 10% | 5% | -1.0 | +1.3 | +3.4 | -3.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 2,000 | 2% | 84% | 9% | 5% | -0.7 | +8.0 | -2.6 | -4.7 |
| South 4 | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 0% | 96% | 1% | 3% | +29.5 | +1.9 | -12.0 | -19.4 |