Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/26 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+53.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kenji Katsumata ron 6,400 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +31.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 27% | +6.8 | -1.6 | -0.8 | -4.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 1,100 | 30% | 23% | 24% | 23% | -4.5 | -1.0 | -2.7 | +8.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 22% | 23% | 29% | +8.5 | -3.0 | -2.1 | -3.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki | 32% | 20% | 22% | 26% | -0.5 | +16.3 | -6.6 | -9.2 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 30% | 16% | 21% | -2.0 | +8.6 | +2.4 | -9.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki | 30% | 38% | 18% | 14% | -3.6 | +11.1 | -0.4 | -7.1 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 24% | 50% | 16% | 9% | +28.5 | -5.9 | -24.4 | +1.7 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 52% | 36% | 5% | 7% | +0.7 | -1.6 | -23.7 | +24.6 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 6,400 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 54% | 30% | 0% | 16% | -46.6 | +31.9 | +7.8 | +6.9 |