Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/26 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+53.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Katsumata Kenji ron 6,400 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +33.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +6.0 | -1.2 | -2.8 | -1.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 1,100 | 29% | 25% | 24% | 23% | -4.0 | -1.8 | -2.3 | +8.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 22% | 28% | +8.6 | -4.7 | -1.7 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Suzuki Yu | 33% | 19% | 21% | 27% | +0.6 | +18.7 | -7.0 | -12.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 33% | 31% | 16% | 20% | -4.2 | +7.4 | +2.3 | -5.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 2,000 from Suzuki Yu | 29% | 39% | 17% | 16% | -2.7 | +11.1 | 0.0 | -8.4 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 23% | 51% | 15% | 11% | +28.4 | -5.7 | -23.3 | +0.6 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 52% | 36% | 5% | 7% | +2.8 | -3.0 | -24.6 | +24.8 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 6,400 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 56% | 28% | 0% | 16% | -48.0 | +33.1 | +7.9 | +7.0 |