Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/29 Game 1
Nakada Kana finished 1st (+59.3pt). The game was decided in South 2: Nakada Kana ron 6,400 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Nakada Kana's expected points by +20.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | +44.9 | -12.1 | -17.0 | -15.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 61% | 13% | 13% | 13% | -2.3 | +3.5 | +2.0 | -3.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 60% | 15% | 13% | 12% | +1.4 | -27.3 | +24.6 | +1.3 |
| East 3 | Nakada Kana tsumo 8,000 | 61% | 5% | 23% | 11% | -1.1 | -5.4 | -11.5 | +18.0 |
| East 4 | Asami Maki tsumo 2,700 | 61% | 4% | 17% | 18% | +0.2 | -2.4 | +8.8 | -6.7 |
| South 1 | Nakada Kana tsumo 5,200 | 63% | 3% | 21% | 14% | -6.8 | -4.3 | -4.9 | +16.0 |
| South 2 | Nakada Kana ron 6,400 from Hagiwara Masato | 56% | 2% | 17% | 25% | -3.6 | -10.9 | -6.4 | +20.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 46% | 0% | 11% | 42% | -7.8 | -1.1 | -9.5 | +18.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 25% | 0% | 1% | 73% | -8.4 | +2.0 | -2.6 | +9.0 |