Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/29 Game 1
Kana Nakada finished 1st (+59.3pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kana Nakada ron 6,400 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Kana Nakada's expected points by +20.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 18,000 | 27% | 23% | 25% | 25% | +45.1 | -13.3 | -17.3 | -14.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 64% | 13% | 11% | 13% | -2.3 | +3.1 | +0.4 | -1.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 62% | 14% | 11% | 12% | -0.6 | -25.9 | +28.2 | -1.6 |
| East 3 | Kana Nakada tsumo 8,000 | 61% | 5% | 24% | 10% | -2.7 | -5.0 | -12.3 | +20.0 |
| East 4 | Maki Asami tsumo 2,700 | 59% | 3% | 17% | 21% | +0.7 | -2.6 | +8.3 | -6.4 |
| South 1 | Kana Nakada tsumo 5,200 | 61% | 3% | 21% | 14% | -6.7 | -2.6 | -4.5 | +13.8 |
| South 2 | Kana Nakada ron 6,400 from Masato Hagiwara | 53% | 3% | 19% | 24% | -0.8 | -13.0 | -7.0 | +20.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 48% | 0% | 12% | 40% | -8.0 | -0.5 | -9.7 | +18.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 0% | 2% | 71% | -9.6 | +1.7 | -2.6 | +10.5 |