Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/29 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+60.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Sonoda Ken tsumo 6,400, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +27.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,900 from Sugawara Hiroe | 25% | 27% | 24% | 24% | +10.8 | -1.7 | -6.3 | -2.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 32% | 26% | 21% | 22% | -2.4 | -2.9 | -3.1 | +8.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 30% | 23% | 19% | 28% | +24.8 | -3.6 | +0.7 | -21.9 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 51% | 17% | 18% | 14% | +10.9 | -1.1 | -9.1 | -0.7 |
| East 4 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 64% | 14% | 9% | 13% | -8.4 | +33.6 | -7.1 | -18.1 |
| South 1 | Setokuma Naoki ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 51% | 39% | 6% | 5% | -13.5 | +4.6 | -4.3 | +13.2 |
| South 2 | Setokuma Naoki ron 8,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 36% | 48% | 6% | 9% | +0.7 | -2.0 | -19.5 | +20.8 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 6,400 | 36% | 45% | 2% | 17% | +27.8 | -12.0 | -8.2 | -7.6 |
| South 4 | Sugawara Hiroe ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 76% | 16% | 0% | 8% | +10.4 | -36.4 | +13.4 | +12.7 |