Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/29 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+60.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Ken Sonoda tsumo 6,400, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +29.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,900 from Hiroe Sugawara | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +10.3 | +1.1 | -6.2 | -5.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 26% | 21% | 23% | -3.7 | -3.8 | -3.6 | +11.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 27% | 23% | 19% | 31% | +25.1 | -2.3 | +0.9 | -23.6 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 4,000 | 50% | 18% | 18% | 14% | +12.6 | -2.0 | -9.2 | -1.4 |
| East 4 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 12,000 | 64% | 14% | 9% | 13% | -7.9 | +33.1 | -6.3 | -18.8 |
| South 1 | Naoki Setokuma ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 51% | 38% | 6% | 5% | -12.1 | +5.3 | -6.1 | +12.9 |
| South 2 | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Hiroe Sugawara | 39% | 48% | 5% | 8% | -1.2 | -2.5 | -17.0 | +20.7 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 6,400 | 36% | 45% | 3% | 16% | +29.3 | -13.1 | -9.1 | -7.2 |
| South 4 | Hiroe Sugawara ron 12,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 79% | 14% | 0% | 8% | +8.7 | -35.1 | +13.5 | +13.0 |