Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/30 Game 1
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+59.4pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,000, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +34.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go | 25% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -4.8 | +7.9 | +1.6 | -4.8 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 3,900 | 22% | 30% | 26% | 22% | -1.7 | +8.8 | -4.9 | -2.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 6,400 from Kobayashi Go | 20% | 35% | 22% | 23% | +0.6 | +0.7 | +18.1 | -19.5 |
| East 3 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 2,000 | 19% | 36% | 34% | 11% | +5.8 | -2.0 | -4.2 | +0.4 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 5,800 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 23% | 34% | 30% | 12% | -0.3 | -17.5 | +0.3 | +17.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 25% | 23% | 32% | 21% | +3.1 | +5.8 | -1.5 | -7.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 27% | 26% | 31% | 15% | -7.8 | -1.0 | +31.8 | -22.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 13% | 18% | 64% | 5% | +2.9 | +4.4 | -4.9 | -2.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 22% | 57% | 5% | +34.2 | -18.1 | -9.3 | -6.8 |
| South 3 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 4,000 | 51% | 7% | 39% | 2% | +18.7 | -4.6 | -13.4 | -0.7 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 3,000 | 83% | 2% | 13% | 2% | -0.4 | -1.0 | -2.7 | +4.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 1,100 | 84% | 3% | 11% | 2% | +8.4 | -1.1 | -0.9 | -6.4 |