Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/30 Game 1
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+59.4pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,000, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +33.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi | 27% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -3.7 | +7.0 | +0.4 | -3.7 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 3,900 | 24% | 29% | 25% | 23% | -3.8 | +10.2 | -3.2 | -3.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 6,400 from Go Kobayashi | 19% | 37% | 23% | 21% | +2.3 | -0.8 | +16.8 | -18.3 |
| East 3 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 2,000 | 21% | 35% | 33% | 11% | +6.1 | -0.8 | -4.3 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 5,800 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 25% | 34% | 29% | 12% | -2.8 | -17.5 | +4.2 | +16.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 21% | 35% | 19% | +4.1 | +5.9 | -3.7 | -6.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 27% | 26% | 32% | 15% | -6.8 | -1.4 | +31.4 | -23.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 19% | 63% | 4% | +2.6 | +4.5 | -5.6 | -1.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 22% | 56% | 5% | +33.8 | -18.7 | -9.5 | -5.6 |
| South 3 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 4,000 | 51% | 8% | 38% | 2% | +19.0 | -3.5 | -13.1 | -2.4 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 3,000 | 84% | 2% | 12% | 2% | -1.5 | -1.5 | -3.3 | +6.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 1,100 | 84% | 3% | 11% | 3% | +8.7 | -1.3 | 0.0 | -7.4 |