Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/30 Game 2
Nakabayashi Kei finished 1st (+51.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000, which moved Nakabayashi Kei's expected points by +63.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tojyo Rio ron 2,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 25% | 23% | 25% | 27% | -2.3 | -2.7 | +6.4 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 24% | 21% | 29% | 26% | +7.2 | -5.2 | -1.9 | -0.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 29% | 18% | 27% | 26% | +5.7 | +6.4 | -6.6 | -5.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki | 34% | 21% | 23% | 22% | +0.3 | +9.7 | +1.4 | -11.3 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,600 from Nakabayashi Kei | 34% | 28% | 23% | 15% | -0.3 | -7.8 | -1.4 | +9.5 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 33% | 23% | 23% | 21% | +2.4 | -3.7 | -28.1 | +29.4 |
| South 3 | Draw | 34% | 16% | 8% | 42% | -10.8 | +3.3 | +5.7 | +1.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko tsumo 2,700 | 24% | 20% | 12% | 45% | +28.1 | -8.6 | -15.5 | -4.0 |
| South 4 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 58% | 10% | 1% | 31% | -22.8 | +63.0 | -5.4 | -34.8 |