Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
1/30 Game 2
Kei Nakabayashi finished 1st (+51.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 8,000, which moved Kei Nakabayashi's expected points by +62.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rio Tojyo ron 2,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -0.6 | -6.2 | +4.9 | +1.9 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 20% | 27% | 28% | +7.4 | -2.2 | -0.7 | -4.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 30% | 18% | 27% | 25% | +5.2 | +2.8 | -5.5 | -2.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 2,000 from Aki Nikaido | 34% | 20% | 23% | 24% | +0.4 | +13.1 | -1.1 | -12.4 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 2,600 from Kei Nakabayashi | 34% | 30% | 21% | 16% | -0.6 | -10.3 | +1.0 | +9.9 |
| South 2 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 33% | 23% | 23% | 21% | +1.6 | -2.6 | -29.4 | +30.4 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 16% | 8% | 45% | -9.9 | +3.3 | +6.0 | +0.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 2,700 | 24% | 20% | 12% | 44% | +27.0 | -7.8 | -14.7 | -4.5 |
| South 4 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 8,000 | 57% | 11% | 1% | 31% | -21.8 | +62.1 | -5.4 | -34.8 |