Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/1 Game 1
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+56.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Hori Shingo tsumo 5,200, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +20.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hori Shingo ron 5,800 from Sasaki Hisato | 24% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +16.0 | -14.7 | -0.1 | -1.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 2,600 from Nikaido Rumi | 36% | 15% | 24% | 24% | -2.5 | +3.0 | -9.0 | +8.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 33% | 18% | 20% | 30% | +0.8 | -7.4 | +3.2 | +3.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 34% | 12% | 22% | 32% | -1.9 | +29.2 | -26.5 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 5,200 | 31% | 30% | 8% | 32% | +20.9 | -5.0 | -3.8 | -12.1 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Rumi ron 6,400 from Suzuki Yu | 52% | 23% | 6% | 19% | +0.7 | +0.6 | +16.1 | -17.4 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 4,000 | 57% | 21% | 11% | 12% | +5.2 | -11.1 | -7.6 | +13.5 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo ron 1,000 from Suzuki Yu | 66% | 11% | 7% | 16% | +13.4 | +3.1 | -8.8 | -7.6 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 2,700 | 87% | 4% | 1% | 9% | +5.1 | +11.1 | -7.8 | -8.4 |