Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/1 Game 1
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+56.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Shingo Hori tsumo 5,200, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +17.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori ron 5,800 from Hisato Sasaki | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +15.1 | -13.1 | -0.8 | -1.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 2,600 from Rumi Nikaido | 35% | 16% | 24% | 25% | +1.3 | -0.3 | -7.7 | +6.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 36% | 15% | 20% | 29% | -3.1 | -5.0 | +2.9 | +5.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 33% | 12% | 22% | 33% | +1.9 | +26.3 | -27.3 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Shingo Hori tsumo 5,200 | 34% | 26% | 8% | 32% | +17.7 | -2.7 | -2.3 | -12.8 |
| South 1 | Rumi Nikaido ron 6,400 from Yu Suzuki | 52% | 23% | 6% | 20% | +3.0 | -0.8 | +15.6 | -17.8 |
| South 2 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 59% | 20% | 11% | 11% | +2.4 | -10.6 | -5.2 | +13.4 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori ron 1,000 from Yu Suzuki | 64% | 10% | 10% | 16% | +14.1 | +4.0 | -12.0 | -6.1 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,700 | 86% | 5% | 0% | 9% | +5.3 | +11.3 | -7.3 | -9.3 |