Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/1 Game 2
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+62.8pt). The game was decided in East 1: Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +26.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -2.4 | -22.7 | +26.1 | -1.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 22% | 11% | 45% | 23% | -1.2 | -4.8 | +7.5 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 7,700 from Takamiya Mari | 19% | 9% | 51% | 21% | -0.9 | +1.6 | +18.2 | -18.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 2,600 from Katsumata Kenji | 14% | 6% | 70% | 10% | +0.2 | -8.0 | -0.1 | +7.9 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 5% | 70% | 12% | -6.9 | +23.9 | +0.5 | -17.5 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 4,000 | 10% | 10% | 74% | 5% | -11.6 | +13.3 | +0.6 | -2.3 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,800 from Takamiya Mari | 3% | 15% | 77% | 4% | +1.0 | +12.8 | -1.9 | -11.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 3% | 22% | 73% | 2% | -6.8 | +8.7 | -2.2 | +0.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 29% | 67% | 2% | -4.3 | -9.6 | +4.9 | +8.9 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 0% | 17% | 80% | 3% | -13.7 | -0.9 | +1.3 | +13.2 |
| South 4 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 0% | 10% | 85% | 4% | -3.4 | -1.5 | +8.7 | -3.8 |