Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/1 Game 2
Namba Shibukawa finished 1st (+62.8pt). The game was decided in East 1: Namba Shibukawa ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata, which moved Namba Shibukawa's expected points by +22.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Namba Shibukawa ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 25% | 23% | 27% | 26% | -2.0 | -20.3 | +22.0 | +0.3 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 12% | 42% | 24% | -2.6 | -6.5 | +10.7 | -1.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa ron 7,700 from Mari Takamiya | 19% | 7% | 51% | 22% | -1.3 | +2.9 | +17.2 | -18.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 2,600 from Kenji Katsumata | 14% | 7% | 69% | 10% | +1.1 | -7.6 | +1.3 | +5.2 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 5% | 72% | 10% | -8.8 | +25.2 | -0.5 | -15.9 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 4,000 | 10% | 11% | 75% | 5% | -8.0 | +9.9 | -0.4 | -1.5 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,800 from Mari Takamiya | 4% | 15% | 76% | 5% | -0.4 | +15.0 | -1.8 | -12.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,900 from Akina Mizuhara | 3% | 23% | 71% | 2% | -7.6 | +7.9 | -1.1 | +0.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 30% | 67% | 2% | -4.0 | -8.9 | +2.5 | +10.4 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya ron 3,900 from Akina Mizuhara | 1% | 19% | 76% | 4% | -12.6 | -1.1 | +2.9 | +10.8 |
| South 4 | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,000 from Mari Takamiya | 0% | 11% | 85% | 4% | -4.0 | -2.4 | +9.1 | -2.7 |