Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/2 Game 1
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+70.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +29.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +29.8 | -10.7 | -10.0 | -9.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,900 from Suzuki Daisuke | 48% | 18% | 16% | 18% | +7.0 | -0.4 | -7.7 | +1.1 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 2,600 from Kurosawa Saki | 53% | 16% | 12% | 18% | +2.4 | -0.8 | +7.0 | -8.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 56% | 15% | 15% | 13% | +8.0 | -5.2 | 0.0 | -2.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 66% | 10% | 13% | 11% | +0.7 | +0.3 | -6.4 | +5.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 68% | 11% | 10% | 12% | +20.1 | +0.6 | +2.5 | -23.2 |
| South 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from Watanabe Futoshi | 89% | 5% | 4% | 2% | -0.6 | -11.6 | +1.6 | +10.6 |
| South 2 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000 | 90% | 3% | 5% | 2% | -6.3 | +31.5 | -14.9 | -10.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Suzuki Daisuke | 85% | 9% | 4% | 2% | +3.5 | -1.7 | -14.7 | +13.0 |
| South 3 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 92% | 4% | 2% | 3% | -0.4 | +14.0 | -16.3 | +2.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 91% | 8% | 0% | 2% | -2.2 | -0.7 | +1.1 | +1.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 87% | 10% | 0% | 4% | +9.2 | -3.3 | -0.4 | -5.5 |