Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/2 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+70.6pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +29.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +29.4 | -10.8 | -9.7 | -8.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,900 from Daisuke Suzuki | 47% | 16% | 18% | 19% | +11.2 | +0.7 | -9.2 | -2.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,600 from Saki Kurosawa | 57% | 15% | 12% | 16% | -2.9 | +2.5 | +9.4 | -9.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 56% | 17% | 16% | 12% | +10.7 | -7.4 | -2.6 | -0.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 68% | 10% | 13% | 9% | +0.4 | -1.8 | -5.2 | +6.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 70% | 9% | 9% | 13% | +19.3 | +2.3 | +0.9 | -22.5 |
| South 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Futoshi Watanabe | 90% | 4% | 4% | 2% | +0.5 | -9.8 | +0.5 | +8.9 |
| South 2 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000 | 92% | 3% | 3% | 2% | -6.5 | +31.2 | -13.0 | -11.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Daisuke Suzuki | 86% | 9% | 3% | 2% | +2.3 | -2.5 | -15.5 | +15.6 |
| South 3 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 8,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 92% | 3% | 1% | 3% | +0.7 | +13.6 | -15.4 | +1.1 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 92% | 6% | 0% | 2% | -3.6 | 0.0 | +0.7 | +2.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 87% | 9% | 0% | 4% | +9.5 | -3.1 | -0.2 | -6.2 |