Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/2 Game 2
Sarukawa Masatoshi finished 1st (+70.9pt). The game was decided in South 2: Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 12,000, which moved Sarukawa Masatoshi's expected points by +38.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 25% | 22% | 26% | +2.6 | +0.5 | -5.0 | +1.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 27% | 25% | 21% | 27% | -0.8 | -6.0 | -1.2 | +8.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 27% | 21% | 19% | 33% | +5.8 | -4.1 | -1.3 | -0.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 30% | 17% | 19% | 34% | -4.5 | -5.0 | -8.8 | +18.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 26% | 13% | 12% | 49% | +0.2 | -3.9 | -0.3 | +4.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 25% | 11% | 11% | 53% | +34.2 | -2.7 | -0.6 | -30.8 |
| South 1 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 8,000 | 60% | 9% | 10% | 21% | -10.4 | +23.4 | -7.9 | -5.0 |
| South 2 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 12,000 | 52% | 21% | 8% | 19% | -19.2 | +38.6 | -7.5 | -11.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro | 22% | 61% | 6% | 11% | -5.5 | +24.6 | -21.4 | +2.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 7% | 86% | 1% | 7% | -1.4 | +4.8 | -1.2 | -2.3 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 4% | 91% | 1% | 4% | +20.2 | -3.9 | +1.7 | -18.1 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 85% | 1% | 1% | -4.5 | +1.1 | -9.3 | +12.7 |
| South 4 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 1,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 6% | 92% | 0% | 2% | -2.2 | +4.9 | +0.4 | -3.2 |