Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/5 Game 1
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+56.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Exhaustive draw, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +20.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 12,000 from Kana Nakada | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +28.4 | +0.5 | +0.4 | -29.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada | 46% | 23% | 21% | 10% | -5.1 | +18.2 | +1.9 | -15.1 |
| East 2 | Kana Nakada ron 2,600 from Tomohiro Honda | 39% | 34% | 21% | 6% | +4.6 | -9.0 | +1.6 | +2.8 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki | 46% | 26% | 22% | 6% | +2.1 | +13.5 | -14.8 | -0.8 |
| East 4 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 46% | 37% | 12% | 5% | +20.8 | -1.5 | -17.9 | -1.3 |
| South 1 | Kana Nakada tsumo 8,000 | 69% | 26% | 3% | 2% | -6.0 | -3.0 | -6.9 | +16.0 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 68% | 25% | 2% | 5% | +5.0 | -3.2 | -1.9 | 0.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,000 from Kana Nakada | 76% | 18% | 3% | 4% | +3.0 | +2.9 | -3.3 | -2.5 |
| South 4 | Kana Nakada ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya | 82% | 15% | 0% | 3% | -40.5 | +17.9 | -5.4 | +28.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 62% | 0% | 17% | -5.8 | +20.4 | +0.3 | -14.8 |