Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/5 Game 1
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+56.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Draw, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +19.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Nakada Kana | 23% | 25% | 25% | 27% | +29.4 | +0.7 | -0.5 | -29.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana | 46% | 23% | 21% | 10% | -1.9 | +19.0 | -0.2 | -16.9 |
| East 2 | Nakada Kana ron 2,600 from Honda Tomohiro | 42% | 35% | 19% | 4% | +3.6 | -9.0 | +1.2 | +4.3 |
| East 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Suzuki Yu | 47% | 27% | 20% | 6% | +0.9 | +12.1 | -12.4 | -0.5 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 47% | 37% | 12% | 5% | +19.7 | -1.5 | -17.5 | -0.7 |
| South 1 | Nakada Kana tsumo 8,000 | 69% | 26% | 3% | 2% | -6.2 | -2.3 | -8.3 | +16.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 66% | 26% | 3% | 6% | +3.6 | -3.0 | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,000 from Nakada Kana | 73% | 19% | 3% | 4% | +4.1 | +2.4 | -4.3 | -2.2 |
| South 4 | Nakada Kana ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 81% | 16% | 0% | 3% | -40.2 | +18.7 | -4.7 | +26.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 64% | 0% | 15% | -5.4 | +19.5 | -0.1 | -14.0 |