Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/6 Game 1
Maki Asami finished 1st (+75.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani, which moved Maki Asami's expected points by +27.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maki Asami ron 2,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -4.2 | +6.2 | -3.7 | +1.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 27% | 23% | 27% | -1.2 | +7.4 | -4.8 | -1.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 34% | 20% | 25% | -6.5 | -17.5 | -8.1 | +32.1 |
| East 3 | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 16% | 19% | 14% | 52% | -3.5 | +27.0 | -23.5 | 0.0 |
| East 4 | Maki Asami ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 11% | 37% | 4% | 48% | -0.5 | +11.2 | -1.3 | -9.4 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 49% | 4% | 36% | -6.9 | +1.1 | +4.5 | +1.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Maki Asami ron 7,700 from Takaharu Ooi | 6% | 52% | 5% | 38% | 0.0 | +24.7 | +1.3 | -26.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 85% | 3% | 9% | -5.9 | +17.6 | -5.4 | -6.2 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 96% | 1% | 3% | -5.3 | -6.1 | -6.6 | +18.1 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 93% | 0% | 6% | -2.1 | -1.2 | +4.7 | -1.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 0% | 93% | 1% | 6% | +4.9 | -2.3 | -23.2 | +20.6 |
| South 4 | Maki Asami ron 2,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 0% | 86% | 0% | 14% | +0.6 | +7.8 | -1.8 | -6.6 |