Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/6 Game 1
Asami Maki finished 1st (+75.2pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Asami Maki ron 7,700 from Ooi Takaharu, which moved Asami Maki's expected points by +28.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asami Maki ron 2,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 25% | 24% | 26% | 24% | +0.1 | +2.4 | -4.5 | +2.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 25% | 27% | 23% | 25% | -3.9 | +10.3 | -3.2 | -3.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 33% | 22% | 24% | -8.0 | -18.8 | -8.7 | +35.5 |
| East 3 | Asami Maki ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 16% | 17% | 14% | 54% | -2.9 | +27.7 | -24.0 | -0.8 |
| East 4 | Asami Maki ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 11% | 35% | 5% | 49% | -1.1 | +12.1 | -2.0 | -9.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 10% | 50% | 3% | 37% | -5.2 | -0.2 | +5.7 | -0.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Asami Maki ron 7,700 from Ooi Takaharu | 7% | 51% | 5% | 37% | -1.5 | +28.0 | -1.4 | -25.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Asami Maki tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 88% | 2% | 8% | -5.1 | +16.2 | -4.2 | -6.8 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 97% | 1% | 2% | -6.3 | -6.8 | -6.2 | +19.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 93% | 1% | 6% | -1.9 | -0.9 | +5.1 | -2.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 0% | 93% | 1% | 6% | +5.3 | -2.8 | -23.6 | +21.2 |
| South 4 | Asami Maki ron 2,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 0% | 85% | 0% | 15% | +0.4 | +8.2 | -1.6 | -7.0 |