Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2023-24 Regular Season

2/6 Game 2

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+56.4pt). The game was decided in South 4: Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +47.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Takaharu Ooi● Sayaka Kayamori● Aki Nikaido● Ken Sonoda0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takaharu● Sayaka● Aki● Ken
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSayaka Kayamori
1st-place chance
Aki Nikaido
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
Sayaka Kayamori
Expected pt change
Aki Nikaido
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
East 1Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido27%24%26%24%-6.2-20.0+24.6+1.6
East 2Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,00021%12%43%24%-4.4-11.6+21.3-5.3
East 3Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,00013%5%64%17%-4.5-4.1-12.6+21.2
East 4Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 4,00013%5%49%33%+13.8-2.6+0.7-11.9
South 1Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,00020%5%53%22%-17.2+17.9-0.3-0.4
South 2Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,00010%9%56%24%-5.9-16.2-11.7+33.8
South 3Aki Nikaido ron 2,600 from Takaharu Ooi5%1%34%61%-2.7+5.7-13.5+10.5
South 4Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido3%2%12%84%+3.2-16.7+47.8-34.4

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)