Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2023-24 Regular Season

2/6 Game 2

Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+56.4pt). The game was decided in South 4: Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +48.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Ooi Takaharu● Kayamori Sayaka● Nikaido Aki● Sonoda Ken0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Ooi● Kayamori● Nikaido● Sonoda
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKayamori Sayaka
1st-place chance
Nikaido Aki
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Kayamori Sayaka
Expected pt change
Nikaido Aki
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
East 1Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki26%25%25%25%-0.5-23.5+24.4-0.4
East 2Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,00022%12%43%23%-6.7-10.5+21.0-3.8
East 3Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,00014%6%63%17%-4.3-6.1-10.9+21.3
East 4Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 4,00013%4%51%32%+13.0-3.2+0.9-10.6
South 1Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,00019%4%54%23%-17.3+19.1-1.5-0.3
South 2Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,0009%10%55%26%-6.1-15.1-11.0+32.2
South 3Nikaido Aki ron 2,600 from Ooi Takaharu4%2%33%61%-3.1+6.5-14.4+10.9
South 4Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki2%3%12%84%+4.5-18.2+48.3-34.6

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)