Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/8 Game 1
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+78.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +22.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | +2.1 | -2.5 | +4.8 | -4.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 24% | 27% | 23% | +4.5 | -4.1 | -0.7 | +0.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 31% | 21% | 27% | 21% | -7.7 | 0.0 | +8.9 | -1.2 |
| East 2 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 24% | 21% | 33% | 21% | +1.5 | -22.7 | +22.7 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 4,800 from Akina Mizuhara | 22% | 8% | 53% | 18% | -14.1 | +0.8 | +13.4 | -0.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Akina Mizuhara | 12% | 6% | 67% | 15% | -13.2 | +14.0 | +0.3 | -1.1 |
| East 4 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 10% | 69% | 14% | -2.9 | -2.1 | +11.0 | -6.0 |
| South 1 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 4,000 | 4% | 6% | 83% | 8% | -5.3 | -2.6 | +9.1 | -1.2 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 1% | 3% | 93% | 4% | +3.5 | -7.6 | +2.5 | +1.6 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 97% | 2% | -6.1 | -4.0 | -2.7 | +12.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | -18.8 | +5.8 | +10.6 | +2.4 |