Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/8 Game 1
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+78.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +22.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | +2.9 | -5.1 | +4.0 | -1.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 28% | 22% | 27% | 23% | +7.8 | -1.8 | -1.6 | -4.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 32% | 20% | 26% | 22% | -10.4 | -0.2 | +8.6 | +1.9 |
| East 2 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 25% | 21% | 32% | 23% | +1.6 | -23.4 | +22.3 | -0.6 |
| East 3 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 4,800 from Mizuhara Akina | 23% | 8% | 50% | 19% | -12.6 | +0.5 | +13.4 | -1.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Mizuhara Akina | 13% | 6% | 64% | 17% | -14.8 | +15.4 | +1.4 | -1.9 |
| East 4 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 4,000 | 7% | 10% | 68% | 15% | -2.4 | -3.1 | +11.6 | -6.1 |
| South 1 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 4,000 | 4% | 7% | 82% | 7% | -6.7 | -1.1 | +8.9 | -1.1 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 3% | 93% | 4% | +4.7 | -8.1 | +2.4 | +0.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -5.6 | -4.6 | -2.1 | +12.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 0% | 0% | 96% | 3% | -19.9 | +6.1 | +10.3 | +3.5 |