Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/8 Game 2
Nikaido Rumi finished 1st (+78.2pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Nikaido Rumi ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi, which moved Nikaido Rumi's expected points by +29.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,300 from Uotani Yuumi | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -5.2 | +5.4 | -2.6 | +2.3 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 29% | 23% | 27% | -5.8 | -11.9 | -5.6 | +23.3 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 16% | 19% | 19% | 46% | -28.7 | -0.4 | +31.5 | -2.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 5% | 16% | 40% | 39% | -20.0 | -1.4 | -7.8 | +29.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 1% | 9% | 23% | 67% | -0.2 | -2.5 | -2.1 | +4.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 1% | 7% | 20% | 72% | +3.1 | -23.3 | -2.3 | +22.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 1% | 7% | 92% | -2.3 | -0.2 | +3.2 | -0.7 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 2% | 9% | 89% | -3.6 | +8.5 | -1.7 | -3.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 0% | 2% | 8% | 90% | +1.1 | -4.6 | +1.5 | +2.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 8% | 91% | -11.4 | +20.6 | -6.1 | -3.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 0% | 2% | 6% | 91% | -1.3 | +7.3 | -5.0 | -1.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go | 0% | 5% | 5% | 90% | +0.8 | -7.5 | +2.5 | +4.2 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 4% | 96% | -1.5 | +2.2 | -4.4 | +3.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +0.1 | -3.7 | +7.1 | -3.5 |