Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/8 Game 2
Rumi Nikaido finished 1st (+78.2pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Rumi Nikaido ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani, which moved Rumi Nikaido's expected points by +25.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,300 from Yuumi Uotani | 27% | 23% | 24% | 26% | -7.2 | +7.8 | -1.4 | +0.8 |
| East 2 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 29% | 23% | 26% | -6.2 | -10.8 | -5.8 | +22.8 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 17% | 20% | 20% | 44% | -27.6 | -2.4 | +29.1 | +0.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 5% | 16% | 37% | 42% | -19.8 | -1.3 | -4.4 | +25.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 10% | 24% | 66% | -1.2 | -1.7 | -3.1 | +5.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi | 1% | 8% | 19% | 73% | +2.2 | -24.2 | -0.9 | +22.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 8% | 91% | -1.0 | -0.7 | +2.0 | -0.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 1% | 8% | 91% | -3.7 | +8.9 | -2.0 | -3.2 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 8% | 91% | +0.5 | -4.0 | +2.3 | +1.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 8% | 91% | -12.0 | +20.6 | -6.0 | -2.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 3% | 6% | 91% | -0.3 | +5.9 | -5.1 | -0.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi | 0% | 3% | 5% | 91% | +0.1 | -7.0 | +2.6 | +4.2 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 4% | 96% | -1.1 | +2.4 | -4.3 | +3.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0.0 | -3.5 | +6.7 | -3.2 |