Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/9 Game 1
Sayaka Okada finished 1st (+72.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Sayaka Okada tsumo 18,000, which moved Sayaka Okada's expected points by +50.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 2,900 from Futoshi Watanabe | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +10.4 | -10.2 | -0.9 | +0.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 18% | 24% | 25% | +6.0 | -3.2 | +1.3 | -4.1 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,000 from Aiko Hinata | 37% | 16% | 24% | 23% | -6.1 | +1.2 | -3.7 | +8.7 |
| East 2 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 5,800 from Aiko Hinata | 31% | 18% | 22% | 29% | -15.8 | +16.9 | +0.1 | -1.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 27% | 23% | 27% | -2.1 | +4.0 | -0.4 | -1.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki | 19% | 31% | 23% | 27% | +1.3 | -2.8 | +16.5 | -15.0 |
| East 3 | Aiko Hinata ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 20% | 28% | 34% | 18% | +10.3 | +1.5 | +0.3 | -12.1 |
| East 4 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki | 26% | 28% | 34% | 12% | -0.7 | +17.6 | -1.3 | -15.6 |
| South 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 1,500 from Sayaka Okada | 23% | 44% | 29% | 5% | +4.1 | -1.1 | -4.8 | +1.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 1,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 26% | 42% | 26% | 6% | +0.1 | -3.1 | +6.1 | -3.1 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Okada ron 1,300 from Futoshi Watanabe | 27% | 38% | 31% | 5% | +0.6 | -3.7 | +4.9 | -1.8 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 18,000 | 27% | 34% | 34% | 5% | -20.4 | -22.7 | +50.1 | -7.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 1% | 96% | 2% | -4.7 | +7.1 | -1.6 | -0.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 2,000 from Aiko Hinata | 0% | 1% | 98% | 1% | -5.1 | +5.2 | +5.9 | -6.0 |