Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/9 Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+72.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Okada Sayaka tsumo 18,000, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +48.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 2,900 from Watanabe Futoshi | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | +7.8 | -9.7 | -0.4 | +2.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 30% | 20% | 23% | 27% | +7.5 | -0.8 | -2.7 | -4.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Hinata Aiko | 37% | 19% | 22% | 23% | -4.3 | -3.0 | +0.8 | +6.5 |
| East 2 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 5,800 from Hinata Aiko | 34% | 18% | 21% | 28% | -17.1 | +16.7 | 0.0 | +0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 28% | 23% | 29% | -3.6 | +4.4 | +0.6 | -1.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 19% | 30% | 24% | 27% | +1.4 | -0.1 | +15.7 | -16.9 |
| East 3 | Hinata Aiko ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 20% | 30% | 33% | 16% | +10.0 | +0.3 | -1.3 | -9.0 |
| East 4 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 26% | 30% | 31% | 13% | +0.1 | +15.0 | +0.4 | -15.6 |
| South 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 1,500 from Okada Sayaka | 24% | 42% | 29% | 6% | +4.0 | +1.3 | -2.7 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 1,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 26% | 42% | 27% | 5% | -1.3 | -4.3 | +4.7 | +0.9 |
| South 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 1,300 from Watanabe Futoshi | 25% | 38% | 32% | 6% | +1.0 | -3.2 | +4.8 | -2.6 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 35% | 36% | 4% | -18.5 | -22.3 | +48.7 | -7.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 2% | 96% | 1% | -4.5 | +5.1 | -1.1 | +0.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Hinata Aiko | 0% | 1% | 98% | 1% | -5.9 | +6.2 | +5.8 | -6.2 |