Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/9 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+52.7pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +64.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Shingo Hori | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -2.0 | -3.6 | +0.5 | +5.1 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 23% | 24% | 29% | +23.7 | -15.1 | -2.8 | -5.8 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 42% | 13% | 22% | 24% | -2.1 | -1.6 | +4.7 | -1.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 40% | 12% | 24% | 24% | -35.9 | +1.0 | +35.7 | -0.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 11% | 56% | 21% | +28.8 | -7.8 | -12.8 | -8.2 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 3,000 | 32% | 8% | 43% | 18% | -6.0 | -1.1 | -4.7 | +11.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 27% | 8% | 38% | 26% | +23.9 | -18.4 | -1.9 | -3.7 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 48% | 3% | 31% | 18% | +6.9 | -1.4 | -3.2 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 55% | 2% | 27% | 16% | -11.6 | +29.9 | -5.1 | -13.2 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 6,000 | 48% | 12% | 27% | 13% | -6.9 | +18.7 | -5.5 | -6.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori | 41% | 22% | 26% | 12% | +24.0 | -20.2 | -1.9 | -1.9 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 72% | 5% | 16% | 8% | -49.4 | -0.2 | +46.9 | +2.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 4% | 78% | 9% | -10.2 | +32.8 | -9.3 | -13.3 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 20% | 69% | 6% | +5.0 | -1.9 | -5.3 | +2.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 12% | 22% | 58% | 8% | +64.1 | -2.1 | -50.1 | -11.9 |