Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/12 Game 1
Masato Hagiwara finished 1st (+49.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000, which moved Masato Hagiwara's expected points by +72.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 5,200 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -6.8 | -7.2 | +15.7 | -1.8 |
| East 2 | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 4,000 | 20% | 20% | 37% | 23% | +11.2 | -7.0 | +0.6 | -4.8 |
| East 3 | Hiroe Sugawara tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 16% | 37% | 20% | +35.5 | -8.5 | -19.6 | -7.4 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 60% | 9% | 17% | 14% | -10.0 | -6.3 | +33.2 | -16.9 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 44% | 7% | 44% | 6% | +5.2 | -4.1 | -4.5 | +3.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 50% | 5% | 38% | 6% | -13.4 | +25.0 | -0.2 | -11.4 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 1,500 | 38% | 15% | 42% | 4% | +1.6 | -5.9 | +0.7 | +3.6 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 41% | 11% | 42% | 6% | +3.4 | -8.7 | -13.1 | +18.5 |
| South 4 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 50% | 8% | 27% | 15% | -18.6 | +72.0 | -26.1 | -27.2 |