Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/12 Game 1
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+49.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +72.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 5,200 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -8.7 | -5.8 | +15.9 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 4,000 | 20% | 21% | 37% | 23% | +11.5 | -7.3 | -2.0 | -2.2 |
| East 3 | Sugawara Hiroe tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 16% | 34% | 23% | +35.2 | -9.3 | -17.6 | -8.3 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 59% | 9% | 18% | 14% | -10.0 | -6.1 | +33.5 | -17.4 |
| South 1 | Draw | 43% | 6% | 44% | 6% | +4.9 | -3.2 | -3.4 | +1.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 49% | 6% | 40% | 6% | -12.2 | +24.4 | -3.5 | -8.8 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 1,500 | 39% | 16% | 40% | 5% | +1.9 | -5.8 | +2.6 | +1.3 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 42% | 10% | 43% | 6% | +4.0 | -9.6 | -12.6 | +18.2 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 52% | 8% | 27% | 13% | -19.9 | +72.4 | -26.2 | -26.3 |