Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/12 Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+64.3pt). The game was decided in South 1: Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +36.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | -0.8 | +19.1 | -18.0 | -0.3 |
| East 2 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 2,600 from Naoki Setokuma | 22% | 40% | 14% | 25% | +2.4 | -1.1 | -11.2 | +10.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 38% | 9% | 31% | -4.4 | +2.8 | -4.1 | +5.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 41% | 6% | 34% | -2.6 | -3.7 | -1.2 | +7.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 12,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 17% | 36% | 6% | 41% | -2.3 | -6.8 | -23.2 | +32.3 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 18% | 1% | 72% | -3.9 | +14.6 | -3.3 | -7.4 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 7% | 31% | 1% | 61% | -3.1 | +36.9 | -0.7 | -33.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 84% | 0% | 14% | -2.8 | -1.9 | -1.6 | +6.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 83% | 0% | 16% | +1.7 | -6.4 | +1.6 | +3.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 76% | 0% | 22% | +13.1 | -1.0 | -6.4 | -5.7 |
| South 4 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 2,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 5% | 79% | 0% | 16% | -1.1 | -6.5 | -0.3 | +7.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,700 | 5% | 70% | 0% | 25% | -5.8 | +16.1 | 0.0 | -10.3 |