Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/12 Game 2
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+64.3pt). The game was decided in South 1: Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +37.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 26% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -0.6 | +21.5 | -19.4 | -1.5 |
| East 2 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 2,600 from Setokuma Naoki | 24% | 40% | 13% | 24% | +0.2 | -0.9 | -7.4 | +8.2 |
| East 3 | Draw | 22% | 40% | 10% | 28% | -3.2 | +3.6 | -8.8 | +8.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 18% | 42% | 6% | 34% | -1.8 | -2.0 | -1.0 | +4.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 17% | 39% | 5% | 38% | -4.7 | -8.1 | -21.7 | +34.5 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 19% | 1% | 72% | -3.3 | +13.0 | -3.0 | -6.6 |
| South 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 6% | 30% | 1% | 63% | -3.0 | +37.4 | 0.0 | -34.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 84% | 1% | 14% | -3.1 | -2.3 | -1.5 | +6.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 82% | 1% | 16% | +2.0 | -7.1 | +0.5 | +4.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 74% | 0% | 24% | +12.8 | +1.0 | -6.3 | -7.6 |
| South 4 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 2,900 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 3% | 80% | 0% | 17% | -0.2 | -7.7 | 0.0 | +7.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,700 | 5% | 70% | 0% | 25% | -5.8 | +16.3 | -0.2 | -10.2 |