Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2023-24 Regular Season

2/13 Game 1

Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+65.6pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 18,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +45.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Yuumi Uotani● Kazunori Takizawa● Maki Asami● Takaya Matsugase0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Yuumi● Kazunori● Maki● Takaya
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Maki Asami
1st-place chance
Takaya Matsugase
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
Maki Asami
Expected pt change
Takaya Matsugase
Expected pt change
East 1Maki Asami ron 3,900 from Takaya Matsugase26%25%23%25%-5.4-4.3+17.7-8.1
East 2Yuumi Uotani tsumo 1,50021%22%37%20%-1.4+6.0-1.7-2.9
East 2, 1 honbaYuumi Uotani tsumo 18,00020%25%36%19%-14.7+45.5-17.1-13.6
East 2, 2 honbaExhaustive draw11%64%17%8%-1.5+5.2-1.9-1.9
East 2, 3 honbaMaki Asami ron 8,000 from Takaya Matsugase8%70%15%7%-3.1-3.5+23.6-17.0
East 3Maki Asami tsumo 7,8005%64%28%4%-5.3-9.9+19.2-4.0
East 3, 1 honbaMaki Asami tsumo 3,0003%47%47%3%-2.2-5.7+8.8-0.9
East 3, 2 honbaYuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa3%38%56%3%-13.5+17.3-5.1+1.2
East 4Takaya Matsugase ron 12,000 from Maki Asami1%54%44%1%-2.6+8.4-27.7+21.9
East 4, 1 honbaTakaya Matsugase ron 5,800 from Yuumi Uotani1%76%18%5%-1.7-13.0+1.8+13.0
East 4, 2 honbaYuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Takaya Matsugase2%61%26%11%+1.4+19.7-1.0-20.1
South 1Takaya Matsugase ron 3,900 from Maki Asami1%84%14%2%-4.4+3.8-9.6+10.2
South 2Maki Asami ron 3,900 from Yuumi Uotani0%90%7%3%-1.3-6.5+9.0-1.2
South 3Exhaustive draw0%86%11%2%-1.8-3.0+3.0+1.9
South 3, 1 honbaKazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Yuumi Uotani0%83%15%2%+5.2-3.7-1.7+0.2
South 4Yuumi Uotani ron 1,300 from Takaya Matsugase0%86%10%3%-2.8+9.3-3.3-3.3

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)