Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/13 Game 1
Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+65.6pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 18,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +45.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Maki Asami ron 3,900 from Takaya Matsugase | 26% | 25% | 23% | 25% | -5.4 | -4.3 | +17.7 | -8.1 |
| East 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 1,500 | 21% | 22% | 37% | 20% | -1.4 | +6.0 | -1.7 | -2.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 18,000 | 20% | 25% | 36% | 19% | -14.7 | +45.5 | -17.1 | -13.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 64% | 17% | 8% | -1.5 | +5.2 | -1.9 | -1.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 8% | 70% | 15% | 7% | -3.1 | -3.5 | +23.6 | -17.0 |
| East 3 | Maki Asami tsumo 7,800 | 5% | 64% | 28% | 4% | -5.3 | -9.9 | +19.2 | -4.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 3,000 | 3% | 47% | 47% | 3% | -2.2 | -5.7 | +8.8 | -0.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 3% | 38% | 56% | 3% | -13.5 | +17.3 | -5.1 | +1.2 |
| East 4 | Takaya Matsugase ron 12,000 from Maki Asami | 1% | 54% | 44% | 1% | -2.6 | +8.4 | -27.7 | +21.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 5,800 from Yuumi Uotani | 1% | 76% | 18% | 5% | -1.7 | -13.0 | +1.8 | +13.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 2% | 61% | 26% | 11% | +1.4 | +19.7 | -1.0 | -20.1 |
| South 1 | Takaya Matsugase ron 3,900 from Maki Asami | 1% | 84% | 14% | 2% | -4.4 | +3.8 | -9.6 | +10.2 |
| South 2 | Maki Asami ron 3,900 from Yuumi Uotani | 0% | 90% | 7% | 3% | -1.3 | -6.5 | +9.0 | -1.2 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 86% | 11% | 2% | -1.8 | -3.0 | +3.0 | +1.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Yuumi Uotani | 0% | 83% | 15% | 2% | +5.2 | -3.7 | -1.7 | +0.2 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,300 from Takaya Matsugase | 0% | 86% | 10% | 3% | -2.8 | +9.3 | -3.3 | -3.3 |