Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/13 Game 2
Kayamori Sayaka finished 1st (+63.3pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000, which moved Kayamori Sayaka's expected points by +34.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 26% | 24% | 25% | +34.0 | -10.5 | -11.9 | -11.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 51% | 17% | 16% | 16% | -19.6 | +34.3 | -7.3 | -7.4 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken | 31% | 42% | 13% | 14% | +8.4 | -3.0 | +0.3 | -5.7 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 1,500 | 40% | 38% | 11% | 11% | -2.1 | +0.9 | +5.8 | -4.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 37% | 38% | 15% | 9% | -2.0 | -6.0 | +6.4 | +1.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 3,900 from Nikaido Rumi | 36% | 34% | 20% | 10% | +15.5 | +2.3 | -15.3 | -2.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 49% | 34% | 9% | 9% | -5.0 | +0.8 | +1.2 | +3.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 2,000 | 46% | 35% | 9% | 10% | +0.4 | +0.2 | +8.0 | -8.6 |
| South 1 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 6,000 | 47% | 36% | 12% | 5% | +18.2 | -8.8 | -4.1 | -5.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 67% | 22% | 8% | 3% | +2.6 | -5.8 | +5.6 | -2.4 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 8,000 | 73% | 15% | 9% | 2% | -1.8 | -17.3 | +23.2 | -4.2 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 3,000 | 74% | 5% | 20% | 2% | -6.0 | -4.8 | +11.4 | -0.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 62% | 4% | 31% | 2% | +7.2 | +37.2 | -42.8 | -1.6 |
| South 4 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 77% | 20% | 1% | 1% | +14.6 | -6.2 | +0.8 | -9.2 |