Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/15 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+55.4pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +40.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +6.7 | -2.4 | -3.1 | -1.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 12,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 30% | 22% | 24% | 24% | -6.0 | +35.6 | -28.9 | -0.7 |
| East 2 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 50% | 9% | 20% | -3.3 | -15.9 | +26.7 | -7.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 22% | 37% | 22% | 19% | -4.0 | +4.8 | -6.8 | +6.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 20% | 42% | 16% | 22% | -2.1 | +2.6 | +10.3 | -10.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 18% | 45% | 22% | 14% | -5.1 | +1.2 | -3.8 | +7.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 46% | 20% | 20% | -12.3 | -17.5 | -10.3 | +40.0 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 3,000 | 6% | 24% | 13% | 57% | -4.1 | -3.7 | +11.3 | -3.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 1,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 6% | 22% | 20% | 53% | -5.6 | +6.7 | -10.9 | +9.8 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 21% | 7% | 70% | -4.9 | -12.4 | -7.1 | +24.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 16,000 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | +50.1 | -18.4 | -23.1 | -8.5 |