Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/15 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+55.4pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +40.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 23% | 25% | 25% | +2.7 | -1.1 | -0.3 | -1.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 28% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -0.6 | +34.2 | -30.4 | -3.2 |
| East 2 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 49% | 9% | 18% | -9.1 | -14.8 | +28.0 | -4.0 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 37% | 24% | 20% | -1.5 | +5.1 | -7.3 | +3.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 19% | 43% | 18% | 21% | -1.8 | +3.8 | +6.6 | -8.6 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 47% | 22% | 14% | -3.3 | -1.1 | -1.6 | +5.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 45% | 21% | 19% | -13.4 | -16.2 | -11.4 | +40.9 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 3,000 | 6% | 25% | 12% | 57% | -4.2 | -5.0 | +12.3 | -3.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 1,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 7% | 21% | 19% | 54% | -5.9 | +7.1 | -9.4 | +8.2 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 21% | 8% | 68% | -4.9 | -12.1 | -8.5 | +25.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 16,000 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 98% | +50.3 | -18.6 | -23.3 | -8.4 |