Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/15 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+51.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +44.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -8.7 | +0.2 | +9.2 | -0.7 |
| East 2 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 3,200 from Takamiya Mari | 20% | 25% | 31% | 23% | -5.0 | -4.5 | -0.3 | +9.8 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 21% | 30% | 33% | -7.8 | +27.3 | -15.9 | -3.7 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 42% | 17% | 28% | -6.2 | -4.5 | +28.9 | -18.2 |
| South 1 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 37% | 39% | 14% | -14.2 | -6.9 | -6.7 | +27.8 |
| South 2 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 2,000 | 3% | 30% | 33% | 34% | -3.9 | -8.8 | -1.7 | +14.5 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 19% | 29% | 51% | -2.2 | +2.9 | +7.6 | -8.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari | 1% | 23% | 36% | 39% | -5.7 | -5.0 | +17.0 | -6.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 0% | 16% | 57% | 27% | +12.5 | +6.4 | -38.3 | +19.5 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Takamiya Mari | 3% | 20% | 14% | 63% | -7.8 | +44.4 | -12.4 | -24.2 |