Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2023-24 Regular Season

2/19 Game 2

Uotani Yuumi finished 1st (+61.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000, which moved Uotani Yuumi's expected points by +32.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Uotani Yuumi● Takamiya Mari● Suzuki Yu● Uchikawa Kotaro0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Uotani● Takamiya● Suzuki● Uchikawa
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakamiya Mari
1st-place chance
Suzuki Yu
1st-place chance
Uchikawa Kotaro
1st-place chance
Uotani Yuumi
1st-place chance
Takamiya Mari
Expected pt change
Suzuki Yu
Expected pt change
Uchikawa Kotaro
Expected pt change
Uotani Yuumi
Expected pt change
East 1Takamiya Mari ron 7,700 from Suzuki Yu26%25%25%24%+18.9-18.0+1.1-2.0
East 1, 1 honbaUotani Yuumi ron 5,200 from Suzuki Yu39%14%24%22%-1.1-12.9-1.6+15.6
East 2Takamiya Mari tsumo 4,00037%9%22%32%+10.4-7.0-3.8+0.4
East 3Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 3,90046%5%19%30%-2.8-5.5+12.7-4.3
East 3, 1 honbaSuzuki Yu tsumo 2,70042%4%26%28%0.0+7.6-5.0-2.6
East 4Draw45%6%24%26%+9.2-1.9-3.4-4.0
South 1, 1 honbaUotani Yuumi tsumo 8,00054%6%20%20%-18.2-6.2-8.3+32.7
South 2Suzuki Yu tsumo 3,00030%3%13%53%-3.8+5.8-2.2+0.3
South 2, 1 honbaSuzuki Yu tsumo 3,90027%4%13%56%-2.6+11.7-3.0-6.1
South 2, 2 honbaUotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu28%9%14%50%-3.3-24.4+0.2+27.4
South 3Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,500 from Uotani Yuumi10%0%6%84%+0.4-0.2+3.4-3.6
South 3, 1 honbaSuzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro11%0%9%80%+1.3+20.3-28.1+6.5
South 4Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro6%0%0%94%-0.1+18.7-20.0+1.3

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)