Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2023-24 Regular Season

2/19 Game 2

Yuumi Uotani finished 1st (+61.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000, which moved Yuumi Uotani's expected points by +33.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Yuumi Uotani● Mari Takamiya● Yu Suzuki● Kotaro Uchikawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Yuumi● Mari● Yu● Kotaro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMari Takamiya
1st-place chance
Yu Suzuki
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Yuumi Uotani
1st-place chance
Mari Takamiya
Expected pt change
Yu Suzuki
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
Yuumi Uotani
Expected pt change
East 1Mari Takamiya ron 7,700 from Yu Suzuki25%25%26%24%+17.8-20.2-0.3+2.7
East 1, 1 honbaYuumi Uotani ron 5,200 from Yu Suzuki37%14%24%24%+0.1-12.5-2.0+14.4
East 2Mari Takamiya tsumo 4,00036%9%22%33%+12.7-8.7-3.2-0.8
East 3Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 3,90047%4%17%31%-4.4-2.9+14.4-7.1
East 3, 1 honbaYu Suzuki tsumo 2,70043%4%27%26%-0.2+5.8-8.1+2.5
East 4Exhaustive draw44%6%21%29%+10.4-1.5-2.0-6.9
South 1, 1 honbaYuumi Uotani tsumo 8,00056%4%19%20%-20.3-6.0-7.4+33.7
South 2Yu Suzuki tsumo 3,00029%3%13%55%-2.0+4.3-2.3-0.1
South 2, 1 honbaYu Suzuki tsumo 3,90027%4%12%56%-2.0+13.5-4.9-6.7
South 2, 2 honbaYuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki29%8%12%50%-3.0-24.4+0.7+26.8
South 3Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,500 from Yuumi Uotani11%0%5%83%-1.8+0.4+3.9-2.5
South 3, 1 honbaYu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa11%0%8%81%+2.7+19.9-28.2+5.6
South 4Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa7%0%0%93%-0.8+18.3-19.3+1.7

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)