Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/20 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+83.0pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +50.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroe Sugawara 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Hiroe Sugawara Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -2.9 | -1.8 | +7.1 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 25% | 29% | 23% | +3.5 | -0.1 | -1.3 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 25% | 24% | 27% | 24% | -15.7 | +50.5 | -18.6 | -16.2 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Hiroe Sugawara | 10% | 67% | 12% | 10% | -6.6 | +6.1 | +1.0 | -0.5 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 73% | 11% | 9% | -8.3 | -15.1 | -8.8 | +32.2 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Hiroe Sugawara | 7% | 58% | 9% | 27% | -9.7 | +15.0 | -4.5 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 74% | 5% | 19% | -9.0 | +0.8 | +20.8 | -12.6 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 3% | 77% | 9% | 11% | -3.7 | +3.2 | +1.5 | -1.0 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 83% | 8% | 9% | -7.4 | +25.9 | -9.6 | -8.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | -3.3 | -6.0 | -8.0 | +17.3 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 0% | 97% | 1% | 2% | -0.5 | +0.2 | +3.1 | -2.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 97% | 1% | 2% | -0.4 | +2.4 | -4.9 | +2.9 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0.0 | +0.9 | +28.6 | -29.4 |