Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/20 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+83.0pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +50.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sugawara Hiroe 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Sugawara Hiroe Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -4.1 | +0.7 | +3.0 | +0.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 22% | 26% | 28% | 25% | +5.7 | -0.3 | -1.9 | -3.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 24% | 26% | 23% | -17.6 | +50.6 | -16.9 | -16.2 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Sugawara Hiroe | 11% | 67% | 11% | 11% | -6.5 | +5.7 | +0.6 | +0.2 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 73% | 10% | 10% | -8.8 | -15.2 | -6.1 | +30.0 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Sugawara Hiroe | 6% | 56% | 12% | 26% | -9.8 | +15.3 | -5.8 | +0.3 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 73% | 5% | 19% | -8.7 | -0.4 | +22.2 | -13.2 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 2% | 76% | 10% | 11% | -3.9 | +3.8 | +0.2 | -0.1 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 82% | 9% | 9% | -7.1 | +26.7 | -10.8 | -8.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | -3.5 | -6.4 | -8.0 | +17.9 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 96% | 1% | 3% | -0.4 | +0.6 | +4.2 | -4.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 97% | 1% | 2% | -0.5 | +2.0 | -5.7 | +4.2 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -0.1 | +1.2 | +28.8 | -30.0 |