Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/20 Game 2
Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+54.8pt). The game was decided in East 3: Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +35.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -2.6 | -20.0 | +19.2 | +3.4 |
| East 2 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,600 from Saki Kurosawa | 20% | 13% | 40% | 27% | +8.1 | -3.2 | -4.9 | -0.1 |
| East 3 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 11% | 37% | 26% | -7.9 | +35.7 | -17.7 | -10.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 34% | 23% | 21% | +4.6 | -2.2 | -5.9 | +3.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 26% | 32% | 19% | 23% | -2.3 | +27.7 | +0.7 | -26.0 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 19% | 58% | 16% | 7% | -2.8 | +4.0 | -23.8 | +22.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 65% | 6% | 15% | +0.2 | +1.1 | +3.2 | -4.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 5,200 from Saki Kurosawa | 12% | 70% | 8% | 10% | +18.7 | +2.4 | -20.6 | -0.5 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 72% | 0% | 9% | -8.0 | +10.1 | +28.3 | -30.5 |