Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/22 Game 1
Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+66.7pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +45.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tojyo Rio ron 1,300 from Setokuma Naoki | 25% | 22% | 25% | 27% | -0.6 | +5.6 | -1.5 | -3.5 |
| East 2 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 27% | 24% | 25% | -1.9 | -6.8 | -2.0 | +10.7 |
| East 3 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 22% | 24% | 33% | -10.7 | +37.0 | -17.3 | -9.0 |
| East 4 | Draw | 12% | 54% | 10% | 23% | -1.2 | +0.4 | -3.3 | +4.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 7,700 from Hori Shingo | 13% | 54% | 9% | 24% | -20.7 | -3.7 | +0.3 | +24.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 5% | 44% | 8% | 42% | -1.1 | -4.6 | -0.9 | +6.7 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 4,000 | 4% | 38% | 9% | 50% | -2.7 | +18.5 | -5.0 | -10.8 |
| South 1 | Tojyo Rio ron 1,300 from Hori Shingo | 3% | 60% | 4% | 33% | -5.3 | +8.4 | +0.9 | -4.0 |
| South 2 | Hori Shingo ron 1,300 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 73% | 3% | 24% | +2.7 | +2.9 | -0.2 | -5.3 |
| South 3 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 5,800 from Tojyo Rio | 0% | 81% | 3% | 16% | -2.4 | -12.1 | +11.2 | +3.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 67% | 7% | 25% | -10.8 | -28.2 | +60.6 | -21.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 23% | 64% | 14% | -4.6 | +45.9 | -32.4 | -8.8 |
| South 4 | Tojyo Rio ron 1,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 0% | 91% | 4% | 5% | -0.2 | +5.6 | +0.8 | -6.3 |