Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/22 Game 2
Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+59.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Daisuke Suzuki ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +60.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +9.9 | +2.2 | -1.3 | -10.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 2,700 | 32% | 25% | 23% | 20% | -4.2 | -4.6 | +1.6 | +7.2 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 29% | 22% | 24% | 25% | -3.4 | +0.3 | +25.4 | -22.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 20% | 44% | 12% | -4.3 | -5.8 | +5.8 | +4.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 5,200 | 21% | 16% | 50% | 13% | -3.9 | -1.5 | -7.0 | +12.4 |
| East 4 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 17% | 45% | 19% | +25.7 | -5.3 | -6.2 | -14.1 |
| South 1 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 6,000 | 40% | 14% | 35% | 11% | +18.3 | -6.0 | -7.7 | -4.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000 | 59% | 9% | 25% | 7% | -15.6 | -6.5 | +26.5 | -4.4 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 16,000 | 37% | 5% | 53% | 5% | -13.1 | -23.9 | -8.0 | +45.0 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 0% | 45% | 30% | -11.1 | -2.4 | -24.4 | +37.9 |
| South 4 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 9% | 0% | 7% | 84% | +60.4 | +0.2 | -26.2 | -34.4 |