Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/22 Game 2
Suzuki Daisuke finished 1st (+59.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Suzuki Daisuke ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Suzuki Daisuke's expected points by +60.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +9.1 | +1.8 | +0.2 | -11.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 2,700 | 30% | 27% | 24% | 19% | -5.4 | -3.0 | -0.7 | +9.1 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 26% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -0.5 | -2.0 | +26.3 | -23.8 |
| East 3 | Draw | 24% | 19% | 45% | 12% | -3.0 | -4.1 | +5.1 | +2.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 5,200 | 22% | 17% | 49% | 12% | -5.6 | -3.4 | -7.7 | +16.7 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 16% | 43% | 22% | +25.6 | -6.4 | -5.2 | -13.9 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 6,000 | 39% | 13% | 36% | 12% | +17.8 | -4.9 | -6.6 | -6.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 58% | 8% | 27% | 7% | -14.9 | -6.0 | +26.0 | -5.1 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 16,000 | 36% | 6% | 54% | 5% | -12.3 | -23.5 | -8.5 | +44.3 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 1% | 46% | 29% | -11.9 | -2.4 | -24.7 | +39.0 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 9% | 0% | 7% | 84% | +60.6 | 0.0 | -26.1 | -34.4 |