Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/23 Game 1
Maki Asami finished 1st (+58.8pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Maki Asami ron 5,800 from Kenji Katsumata, which moved Maki Asami's expected points by +20.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Arisa Date tsumo 5,200 | 24% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -8.5 | +15.6 | -2.9 | -4.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 35% | 22% | 24% | -0.6 | -3.2 | -1.6 | +5.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Maki Asami ron 2,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 18% | 32% | 21% | 29% | -8.4 | -2.9 | +9.6 | +1.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Maki Asami ron 5,800 from Kenji Katsumata | 14% | 29% | 27% | 29% | -1.9 | +1.3 | +20.8 | -20.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Arisa Date ron 2,000 from Maki Asami | 12% | 28% | 44% | 16% | -0.7 | +9.9 | -10.5 | +1.2 |
| East 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 13% | 38% | 33% | 16% | +24.5 | +0.4 | -1.5 | -23.5 |
| South 1 | Maki Asami tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 38% | 31% | 6% | -8.7 | -2.1 | +14.1 | -3.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 35% | 45% | 5% | -1.2 | -1.7 | +0.1 | +2.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 3,000 | 16% | 34% | 45% | 5% | -5.9 | -9.1 | +19.2 | -4.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 7% | 17% | 72% | 4% | +24.2 | -8.4 | -1.4 | -14.4 |
| South 4 | Maki Asami ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 18% | 10% | 70% | 1% | -1.2 | -9.3 | +14.1 | -3.6 |