Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/23 Game 1
Asami Maki finished 1st (+58.8pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Asami Maki ron 5,800 from Katsumata Kenji, which moved Asami Maki's expected points by +18.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Date Arisa tsumo 5,200 | 27% | 25% | 23% | 25% | -11.6 | +14.3 | 0.0 | -2.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 18% | 34% | 24% | 24% | -1.0 | -2.1 | -3.9 | +7.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Asami Maki ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 16% | 34% | 22% | 27% | -7.0 | -2.1 | +9.4 | -0.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Asami Maki ron 5,800 from Katsumata Kenji | 14% | 31% | 26% | 28% | -2.7 | -1.7 | +18.9 | -14.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Date Arisa ron 2,000 from Asami Maki | 11% | 29% | 41% | 18% | +1.0 | +9.8 | -8.8 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 13% | 37% | 33% | 17% | +24.0 | +0.5 | -0.1 | -24.4 |
| South 1 | Asami Maki tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 36% | 32% | 6% | -8.7 | -0.6 | +12.2 | -2.8 |
| South 2 | Draw | 17% | 34% | 45% | 5% | -1.9 | -2.6 | +1.2 | +3.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Asami Maki tsumo 3,000 | 16% | 32% | 45% | 7% | -5.1 | -7.7 | +18.2 | -5.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 8% | 17% | 71% | 3% | +24.1 | -8.3 | -2.3 | -13.5 |
| South 4 | Asami Maki ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 20% | 11% | 68% | 1% | -1.7 | -9.9 | +15.7 | -4.1 |