Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/23 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+84.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +29.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Date Arisa ron 2,900 from Sonoda Ken | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +7.7 | -0.8 | +0.7 | -7.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 12,000 | 31% | 24% | 24% | 21% | +30.0 | -8.4 | -12.1 | -9.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Date Arisa ron 5,800 from Nikaido Rumi | 56% | 16% | 15% | 13% | +13.7 | -0.5 | -13.7 | +0.4 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Draw | 69% | 13% | 8% | 11% | -2.1 | +4.4 | +2.6 | -4.9 |
| East 2, 4 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Nikaido Rumi | 67% | 15% | 8% | 10% | -1.9 | +10.7 | -10.5 | +1.7 |
| East 2, 5 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,900 from Nikaido Rumi | 65% | 19% | 6% | 10% | -0.7 | +10.9 | -9.1 | -1.1 |
| East 2, 6 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 2,000 | 62% | 26% | 4% | 8% | -0.1 | -6.1 | +8.2 | -2.1 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 64% | 21% | 6% | 9% | +0.1 | +2.9 | -4.7 | +1.6 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 8,000 | 65% | 23% | 3% | 10% | -1.2 | -2.4 | +17.6 | -14.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 66% | 22% | 7% | 5% | +4.1 | +0.3 | -6.5 | +2.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 71% | 21% | 5% | 4% | -6.6 | +23.0 | -18.8 | +2.3 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 57% | 38% | 1% | 3% | -19.2 | +29.8 | -4.9 | -5.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 18,000 | 19% | 79% | 1% | 1% | -13.6 | +26.4 | -7.0 | -5.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 99% | 0% | 0% | +0.1 | -2.4 | -4.2 | +6.5 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 99% | 0% | 0% | -4.7 | -3.6 | +22.3 | -13.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 1% | 99% | 0% | 0% | -0.5 | +0.2 | -26.8 | +27.0 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 5,800 from Nikaido Rumi | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -1.0 | +0.2 | -5.8 | +6.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | +3.5 | +0.6 | +0.5 | -4.6 |