Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/26 Game 1
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+61.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +39.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -8.5 | +12.2 | -1.5 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 2,600 from Shiratori Sho | 19% | 34% | 23% | 24% | +1.7 | -10.8 | +6.5 | +2.7 |
| East 3 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 20% | 25% | 29% | 27% | -5.6 | -0.1 | +6.1 | -0.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 17% | 25% | 33% | 26% | -0.4 | +8.7 | -5.3 | -3.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 16% | 32% | 28% | 24% | -11.8 | -1.7 | +0.2 | +13.3 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Daigo Hiroshi | 11% | 29% | 27% | 33% | -1.1 | +16.9 | -13.8 | -1.9 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 46% | 17% | 28% | -18.6 | -13.3 | -7.5 | +39.4 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Daigo Hiroshi | 1% | 20% | 9% | 70% | +0.3 | -2.1 | -11.2 | +12.9 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 8% | 3% | 89% | +28.7 | -6.2 | -22.1 | -0.4 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Daigo Hiroshi | 1% | 4% | 0% | 95% | -3.3 | +9.0 | -6.5 | +0.8 |