Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/26 Game 1
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+61.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +41.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -8.2 | +11.7 | -1.5 | -2.0 |
| East 2 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 20% | 31% | 25% | 24% | +0.8 | -7.0 | +6.0 | +0.2 |
| East 3 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 21% | 28% | 29% | 23% | -5.9 | +0.2 | +2.8 | +2.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 28% | 30% | 25% | -1.4 | +5.9 | -0.6 | -3.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,900 from Akina Mizuhara | 16% | 32% | 29% | 23% | -11.0 | -0.2 | -1.9 | +13.1 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Hiroshi Daigo | 12% | 30% | 26% | 32% | 0.0 | +16.3 | -13.8 | -2.5 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 45% | 17% | 27% | -20.0 | -14.1 | -7.7 | +41.7 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Hiroshi Daigo | 1% | 20% | 7% | 72% | -0.1 | -3.0 | -7.9 | +11.0 |
| South 3 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 8% | 4% | 87% | +29.2 | -5.6 | -24.4 | +0.8 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Hiroshi Daigo | 1% | 4% | 0% | 95% | -3.0 | +9.2 | -6.7 | +0.6 |