Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/26 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+132.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +27.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -3.4 | -3.7 | +2.8 | +4.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 1,100 | 22% | 22% | 27% | 29% | +5.5 | -3.0 | -1.0 | -1.5 |
| East 3 | Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 26% | 21% | 26% | 27% | +27.9 | -1.5 | -3.0 | -23.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 51% | 17% | 19% | 13% | -6.5 | +1.8 | -1.7 | +6.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 6,400 from Ooi Takaharu | 45% | 19% | 19% | 17% | +1.6 | -0.6 | +21.0 | -22.1 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 44% | 16% | 34% | 5% | -15.2 | +27.9 | -5.7 | -7.1 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 7,700 from Ooi Takaharu | 28% | 39% | 29% | 4% | -5.2 | +22.2 | -6.3 | -10.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 17% | 63% | 18% | 2% | -1.6 | +27.8 | -28.0 | +1.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000 | 4% | 93% | 3% | 1% | -8.6 | +22.1 | -7.6 | -5.9 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -7.7 | +19.9 | -5.2 | -7.1 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -4.1 | +13.2 | -4.5 | -4.6 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -6.6 | +19.7 | -6.2 | -6.8 |
| South 2, 6 honba | Draw | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -2.5 | +1.9 | +2.1 | -1.5 |
| South 2, 7 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +13.5 | -4.8 | -5.3 | -3.3 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +0.3 | -8.5 | -4.7 | +12.9 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -2.7 | -1.8 | -8.7 | +13.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 2,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +4.4 | +0.2 | -10.6 | +6.0 |