Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/26 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+132.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +28.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 27% | 26% | 23% | -6.7 | -3.1 | +3.2 | +6.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 1,100 | 20% | 25% | 27% | 29% | +11.1 | -6.2 | -2.9 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Rio Tojyo ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 27% | 20% | 25% | 28% | +23.3 | +0.6 | -2.0 | -21.9 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 48% | 18% | 20% | 14% | -3.8 | +1.2 | -2.6 | +5.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 6,400 from Takaharu Ooi | 44% | 19% | 19% | 18% | +0.4 | 0.0 | +21.8 | -22.2 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 43% | 17% | 34% | 6% | -14.1 | +28.9 | -6.5 | -8.2 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 7,700 from Takaharu Ooi | 27% | 41% | 28% | 4% | -6.0 | +19.9 | -4.0 | -9.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 16% | 63% | 20% | 2% | -0.9 | +28.6 | -27.9 | +0.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 4% | 94% | 2% | 1% | -7.4 | +21.5 | -9.2 | -4.8 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -7.3 | +19.9 | -5.2 | -7.3 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -4.2 | +13.2 | -5.0 | -4.0 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -8.2 | +19.6 | -5.1 | -6.3 |
| South 2, 6 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -0.2 | +1.9 | +0.4 | -2.1 |
| South 2, 7 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +12.0 | -4.2 | -4.6 | -3.2 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0.0 | -8.9 | -3.5 | +12.4 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -2.4 | -2.1 | -9.2 | +13.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 2,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +4.5 | +0.4 | -10.5 | +5.6 |