Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/27 Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+62.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +25.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 3,900 from Nakada Kana | 27% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -17.1 | +12.5 | +2.0 | +2.6 |
| East 2 | Nakada Kana ron 2,600 from Takizawa Kazunori | 15% | 33% | 26% | 26% | +8.9 | +0.1 | -3.4 | -5.6 |
| East 3 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 18% | 34% | 25% | 22% | +0.3 | +25.1 | -22.8 | -2.6 |
| East 4 | Draw | 16% | 58% | 9% | 17% | +0.3 | -3.8 | -1.8 | +5.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 17% | 54% | 10% | 20% | +2.4 | +2.7 | +3.4 | -8.4 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 19% | 58% | 9% | 13% | -4.4 | +22.6 | +1.4 | -19.6 |
| South 2 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 86% | 5% | 4% | -6.9 | -6.6 | +25.0 | -11.4 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Nakada Kana | 3% | 81% | 13% | 3% | -4.5 | +7.9 | -2.5 | -0.9 |
| South 4 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 95% | 3% | 2% | -1.4 | +2.2 | +7.1 | -8.0 |