Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/27 Game 1
Sayaka Okada finished 1st (+62.9pt). The game was decided in East 3: Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Takaya Matsugase, which moved Sayaka Okada's expected points by +27.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Okada ron 3,900 from Kana Nakada | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -13.9 | +13.8 | +0.9 | -0.8 |
| East 2 | Kana Nakada ron 2,600 from Kazunori Takizawa | 16% | 36% | 24% | 25% | +7.0 | -3.2 | +1.2 | -5.0 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 20% | 34% | 25% | 22% | -1.3 | +27.3 | -23.9 | -2.2 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 59% | 9% | 17% | +3.4 | -3.8 | -2.4 | +2.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 18% | 55% | 9% | 19% | -1.1 | +4.1 | +3.0 | -6.0 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 16% | 62% | 9% | 13% | -1.5 | +19.4 | +1.9 | -19.7 |
| South 2 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 86% | 5% | 4% | -8.8 | -6.8 | +25.7 | -10.1 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Okada ron 2,000 from Kana Nakada | 2% | 81% | 14% | 3% | -4.3 | +8.9 | -3.0 | -1.6 |
| South 4 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 95% | 2% | 2% | -0.7 | +2.1 | +7.1 | -8.6 |