Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/27 Game 2
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+55.5pt). The game was decided in East 4: Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +39.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 26% | 23% | 27% | -6.0 | -3.4 | +10.6 | -1.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 24% | 30% | 25% | +3.7 | -3.7 | -1.9 | +1.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 1,500 | 24% | 21% | 29% | 27% | -5.0 | +13.5 | -4.3 | -4.2 |
| East 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 31% | 25% | 25% | +39.6 | -10.3 | -8.8 | -20.5 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 54% | 19% | 17% | 10% | -0.5 | -3.5 | -3.8 | +7.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 55% | 17% | 14% | 14% | +18.0 | -1.5 | -0.5 | -16.0 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori | 79% | 6% | 10% | 5% | -5.2 | -5.4 | +32.9 | -22.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 66% | 6% | 28% | 1% | +4.3 | +2.2 | -7.7 | +1.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 79% | 6% | 14% | 1% | +6.9 | +25.4 | -23.7 | -8.6 |