Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/27 Game 2
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+55.5pt). The game was decided in East 4: Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +37.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -5.5 | -1.5 | +8.3 | -1.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 20% | 24% | 32% | 24% | +3.0 | -7.3 | -0.6 | +4.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 1,500 | 22% | 18% | 31% | 28% | -2.6 | +15.9 | -7.4 | -5.9 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 29% | 26% | 24% | +37.4 | -7.4 | -10.3 | -19.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 52% | 22% | 15% | 11% | -0.2 | -4.6 | -0.5 | +5.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 53% | 17% | 16% | 14% | +19.4 | -2.0 | -2.9 | -14.5 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 80% | 6% | 9% | 6% | -6.6 | -5.0 | +33.8 | -22.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 65% | 6% | 28% | 1% | +5.0 | +1.5 | -7.3 | +0.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 8,000 | 79% | 5% | 14% | 1% | +7.0 | +25.2 | -23.8 | -8.4 |