Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/29 Game 2
Sarukawa Masatoshi finished 1st (+56.7pt). The game was decided in East 1: Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio, which moved Sarukawa Masatoshi's expected points by +21.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -2.5 | +0.1 | +21.7 | -19.3 |
| East 2 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 23% | 23% | 40% | 15% | +21.7 | -24.3 | -0.8 | +3.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 38% | 10% | 38% | 14% | -2.8 | -1.6 | +9.3 | -4.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 34% | 9% | 47% | 11% | +1.8 | -3.5 | -1.8 | +3.5 |
| East 4 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 5,200 from Tojyo Rio | 35% | 7% | 46% | 12% | -1.9 | -0.9 | +15.6 | -12.7 |
| South 1 | Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 27% | 5% | 62% | 5% | +4.5 | -3.7 | -18.2 | +17.4 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 6,000 | 39% | 6% | 43% | 12% | -5.9 | +20.2 | -6.4 | -7.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 34% | 15% | 39% | 11% | -3.0 | +7.3 | -1.4 | -3.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 2,000 from Tojyo Rio | 33% | 19% | 37% | 11% | +0.5 | -5.6 | +14.8 | -9.7 |
| South 3 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 2,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 30% | 11% | 53% | 6% | -10.6 | 0.0 | +10.5 | 0.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 16% | 8% | 70% | 6% | +0.4 | -20.8 | +4.4 | +16.0 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Tojyo Rio | 9% | 1% | 81% | 9% | -17.2 | +42.9 | +8.9 | -34.6 |