Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
2/29 Game 2
Masatoshi Sarukawa finished 1st (+56.7pt). The game was decided in East 1: Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo, which moved Masatoshi Sarukawa's expected points by +20.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 25% | 23% | 26% | 26% | -2.0 | +1.4 | +20.0 | -19.4 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 22% | 25% | 39% | 15% | +22.7 | -23.0 | -0.1 | +0.4 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 37% | 10% | 37% | 15% | -1.6 | -3.5 | +9.6 | -4.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 35% | 9% | 46% | 10% | -1.1 | -5.5 | +0.1 | +6.5 |
| East 4 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 5,200 from Rio Tojyo | 33% | 7% | 47% | 14% | -1.2 | +2.2 | +15.6 | -16.6 |
| South 1 | Rio Tojyo ron 8,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 26% | 5% | 65% | 5% | +4.0 | -5.3 | -18.0 | +19.3 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 6,000 | 36% | 6% | 46% | 12% | -2.7 | +18.3 | -5.8 | -9.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 36% | 13% | 41% | 11% | -4.7 | +7.6 | -1.2 | -1.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 2,000 from Rio Tojyo | 33% | 17% | 40% | 10% | +0.1 | -4.6 | +13.5 | -9.0 |
| South 3 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 2,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 29% | 10% | 56% | 6% | -11.7 | +0.7 | +9.9 | +1.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 15% | 8% | 71% | 6% | +1.1 | -20.1 | +5.8 | +13.2 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Rio Tojyo | 7% | 1% | 85% | 7% | -16.3 | +42.2 | +7.3 | -33.2 |