Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2023-24 Regular Season

3/1 Game 1

Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+64.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 3 honba: Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +39.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1South 2End● Suzuki Yu● Shiratori Sho● Shibukawa Namba● Nikaido Aki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Suzuki● Shiratori● Shibukawa● Nikaido
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSuzuki Yu
1st-place chance
Shiratori Sho
1st-place chance
Shibukawa Namba
1st-place chance
Nikaido Aki
1st-place chance
Suzuki Yu
Expected pt change
Shiratori Sho
Expected pt change
Shibukawa Namba
Expected pt change
Nikaido Aki
Expected pt change
East 1Suzuki Yu ron 2,900 from Shiratori Sho25%24%25%26%+6.1-6.2-0.2+0.3
East 1, 1 honbaDraw29%21%25%25%-4.0-2.7+2.7+4.0
East 2, 2 honbaNikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu26%20%27%28%-21.6-6.7+0.8+27.6
East 3Suzuki Yu ron 1,000 from Nikaido Aki12%13%24%51%0.0+0.5+0.8-1.3
East 4Draw11%13%25%51%-1.1-3.1+5.3-1.1
South 1, 1 honbaSuzuki Yu ron 5,800 from Nikaido Aki11%12%27%50%+22.8-0.9+1.4-23.3
South 1, 2 honbaDraw25%13%32%29%+8.6+0.5-4.8-4.3
South 1, 3 honbaSuzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba33%13%29%25%+39.3-0.1-38.8-0.4
South 1, 4 honbaShiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Shibukawa Namba73%6%5%16%-1.1+17.3-14.4-1.8
South 2Shiratori Sho tsumo 6,00073%12%2%13%-7.2+15.9-3.1-5.7
South 2, 1 honbaSuzuki Yu ron 5,200 from Shibukawa Namba62%23%2%13%+18.0-6.0-9.1-2.9
South 3Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,00085%8%1%7%-5.7+19.5-7.9-5.9
South 4Nikaido Aki tsumo 6,00076%21%0%4%-3.5-6.4-1.9+11.8
South 4, 1 honbaNikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba74%17%0%10%-0.9-1.7-3.4+6.0
South 4, 2 honbaSuzuki Yu ron 1,000 from Shibukawa Namba71%16%0%13%+14.3-1.7-1.0-11.6

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)