Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/1 Game 1
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+64.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 3 honba: Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Namba Shibukawa, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +41.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,900 from Sho Shiratori | 27% | 25% | 25% | 23% | +7.1 | -8.5 | +1.2 | +0.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 20% | 25% | 24% | -5.8 | -4.1 | +2.8 | +7.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 26% | 18% | 28% | 29% | -22.8 | -5.8 | +1.9 | +26.8 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 1,000 from Aki Nikaido | 12% | 11% | 25% | 52% | +0.2 | +1.2 | -1.1 | -0.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 13% | 24% | 52% | -1.6 | -2.0 | +5.9 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 5,800 from Aki Nikaido | 11% | 11% | 28% | 50% | +24.3 | -0.9 | -0.7 | -22.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 13% | 31% | 30% | +5.6 | +1.7 | -2.4 | -4.9 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 31% | 14% | 29% | 26% | +41.0 | +1.3 | -40.6 | -1.7 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Namba Shibukawa | 72% | 8% | 4% | 16% | +0.9 | +14.5 | -13.6 | -1.9 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 6,000 | 75% | 10% | 2% | 12% | -7.2 | +16.5 | -2.5 | -6.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 5,200 from Namba Shibukawa | 64% | 22% | 2% | 11% | +16.1 | -5.5 | -9.5 | -1.1 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 85% | 8% | 1% | 7% | -4.8 | +18.9 | -8.3 | -5.8 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 6,000 | 77% | 20% | 0% | 3% | -3.3 | -6.3 | -1.9 | +11.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 2,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 75% | 16% | 0% | 9% | -1.7 | -1.3 | -3.4 | +6.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 1,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 71% | 16% | 0% | 13% | +14.3 | -2.0 | -0.9 | -11.5 |