Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/1 Game 1
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+64.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 3 honba: Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +39.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 2,900 from Shiratori Sho | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +6.1 | -6.2 | -0.2 | +0.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 29% | 21% | 25% | 25% | -4.0 | -2.7 | +2.7 | +4.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 26% | 20% | 27% | 28% | -21.6 | -6.7 | +0.8 | +27.6 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu ron 1,000 from Nikaido Aki | 12% | 13% | 24% | 51% | 0.0 | +0.5 | +0.8 | -1.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 11% | 13% | 25% | 51% | -1.1 | -3.1 | +5.3 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 5,800 from Nikaido Aki | 11% | 12% | 27% | 50% | +22.8 | -0.9 | +1.4 | -23.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 25% | 13% | 32% | 29% | +8.6 | +0.5 | -4.8 | -4.3 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 33% | 13% | 29% | 25% | +39.3 | -0.1 | -38.8 | -0.4 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Shibukawa Namba | 73% | 6% | 5% | 16% | -1.1 | +17.3 | -14.4 | -1.8 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 6,000 | 73% | 12% | 2% | 13% | -7.2 | +15.9 | -3.1 | -5.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 5,200 from Shibukawa Namba | 62% | 23% | 2% | 13% | +18.0 | -6.0 | -9.1 | -2.9 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 85% | 8% | 1% | 7% | -5.7 | +19.5 | -7.9 | -5.9 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 6,000 | 76% | 21% | 0% | 4% | -3.5 | -6.4 | -1.9 | +11.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 74% | 17% | 0% | 10% | -0.9 | -1.7 | -3.4 | +6.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 1,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 71% | 16% | 0% | 13% | +14.3 | -1.7 | -1.0 | -11.6 |