Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/1 Game 2
Takaya Matsugase finished 1st (+54.4pt). The game was decided in East 4: Takaya Matsugase tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaya Matsugase's expected points by +35.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -12.4 | -3.9 | +21.7 | -5.4 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 1,100 | 17% | 22% | 40% | 21% | -4.6 | -4.1 | +0.8 | +7.9 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 14% | 18% | 41% | 27% | -0.3 | -19.6 | -1.3 | +21.1 |
| East 4 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 8% | 36% | 43% | +35.4 | -10.0 | -8.3 | -17.2 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 37% | 5% | 30% | 27% | -8.6 | -1.9 | +2.8 | +7.8 |
| South 2 | Takaya Matsugase ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 30% | 5% | 32% | 33% | +26.6 | -16.6 | -7.2 | -2.9 |
| South 3 | Takaya Matsugase ron 1,000 from Go Kobayashi | 59% | 0% | 18% | 23% | +9.6 | +0.2 | -1.8 | -8.0 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Takaya Matsugase | 76% | 0% | 8% | 16% | -22.3 | +0.5 | -5.3 | +27.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 1,300 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 40% | 0% | 12% | 47% | +29.8 | -0.2 | -12.1 | -17.5 |