Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/1 Game 2
Matsugase Takaya finished 1st (+54.4pt). The game was decided in East 4: Matsugase Takaya tsumo 12,000, which moved Matsugase Takaya's expected points by +35.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -10.4 | -7.6 | +22.9 | -4.9 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 1,100 | 17% | 21% | 40% | 22% | -4.8 | -2.5 | +1.6 | +5.8 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 14% | 18% | 43% | 26% | +0.6 | -20.7 | -3.6 | +23.8 |
| East 4 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 7% | 36% | 44% | +35.0 | -8.1 | -7.2 | -19.7 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 38% | 6% | 30% | 26% | -11.4 | -1.6 | +2.0 | +10.9 |
| South 2 | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 27% | 5% | 32% | 35% | +29.3 | -17.4 | -6.9 | -5.0 |
| South 3 | Matsugase Takaya ron 1,000 from Kobayashi Go | 58% | 0% | 19% | 23% | +9.4 | -0.2 | -0.6 | -8.7 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Matsugase Takaya | 75% | 0% | 9% | 15% | -21.5 | 0.0 | -6.1 | +27.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 1,300 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 40% | 0% | 13% | 46% | +29.0 | +0.4 | -12.3 | -17.1 |