Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/4 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+94.0pt). The game was decided in East 3, 6 honba: Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Futoshi Watanabe, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +32.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa | 27% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -17.4 | +0.1 | +1.5 | +15.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 23% | 25% | 37% | 0.0 | +0.8 | -1.3 | +0.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 3,000 | 15% | 24% | 24% | 38% | -4.0 | +14.8 | -5.4 | -5.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 35% | 20% | 32% | +5.2 | -4.6 | -1.5 | +1.0 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 30% | 21% | 33% | +3.2 | -4.4 | +5.3 | -4.1 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Shingo Hori ron 1,500 from Futoshi Watanabe | 18% | 28% | 24% | 30% | -1.7 | -6.8 | +11.2 | -2.6 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Shingo Hori ron 7,700 from Kazunori Takizawa | 17% | 23% | 32% | 29% | -22.1 | -4.0 | +27.0 | -1.0 |
| East 3, 6 honba | Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 6% | 17% | 54% | 23% | +2.9 | -32.0 | +32.0 | -2.9 |
| East 3, 7 honba | Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 3% | 2% | 84% | 12% | -22.7 | +1.8 | +18.9 | +2.1 |
| East 3, 8 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 3,900 from Futoshi Watanabe | 0% | 1% | 93% | 5% | +0.6 | -8.1 | -1.0 | +8.6 |
| East 4 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 5,800 from Futoshi Watanabe | 0% | 1% | 93% | 6% | +1.7 | -10.8 | -0.8 | +9.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 90% | 10% | +17.2 | -8.1 | +0.2 | -9.2 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 0% | 96% | 4% | -4.1 | +3.4 | 0.0 | +0.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 2,600 from Daisuke Suzuki | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | +1.6 | -3.4 | +4.7 | -2.9 |
| South 3 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 8,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -2.3 | +11.5 | -0.6 | -8.6 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | +4.6 | -7.0 | +5.0 | -2.6 |