Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/4 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+94.0pt). The game was decided in East 3, 6 honba: Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Watanabe Futoshi, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +31.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -17.6 | +1.4 | +2.8 | +13.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 14% | 26% | 25% | 35% | +2.0 | -1.3 | -1.5 | +0.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 3,000 | 16% | 24% | 25% | 35% | -5.3 | +12.1 | -5.0 | -1.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 13% | 33% | 21% | 33% | +5.6 | -1.4 | -3.9 | -0.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Draw | 16% | 32% | 19% | 33% | +3.0 | -3.9 | +4.3 | -3.4 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Hori Shingo ron 1,500 from Watanabe Futoshi | 17% | 29% | 22% | 32% | -3.4 | -7.5 | +13.9 | -2.9 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Hori Shingo ron 7,700 from Takizawa Kazunori | 16% | 23% | 31% | 29% | -20.3 | -5.7 | +28.0 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 6 honba | Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 6% | 16% | 55% | 23% | +0.9 | -31.8 | +31.9 | -1.0 |
| East 3, 7 honba | Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 2% | 2% | 84% | 12% | -20.7 | +3.4 | +17.7 | -0.4 |
| East 3, 8 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 3,900 from Watanabe Futoshi | 1% | 1% | 94% | 5% | +0.9 | -10.2 | -0.8 | +10.1 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 5,800 from Watanabe Futoshi | 0% | 1% | 93% | 6% | +2.4 | -10.9 | -1.3 | +9.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 90% | 10% | +15.9 | -6.8 | -0.1 | -8.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 1% | 0% | 95% | 5% | -4.7 | +3.4 | +1.1 | +0.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 2,600 from Suzuki Daisuke | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | +1.7 | -3.0 | +4.4 | -3.2 |
| South 3 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -2.1 | +11.6 | -0.7 | -8.8 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | +4.7 | -7.4 | +4.9 | -2.2 |