Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/7 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+66.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +42.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 23% | 26% | 26% | +7.8 | 0.0 | -4.8 | -3.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 31% | 24% | 22% | 23% | -6.7 | +1.4 | -3.0 | +8.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 25% | 24% | 22% | 30% | +0.5 | +34.7 | -2.1 | -33.2 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 51% | 18% | 9% | +25.5 | -14.5 | -4.0 | -7.0 |
| East 3 | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 5,200 from Daigo Hiroshi | 44% | 34% | 14% | 7% | +3.6 | -1.0 | -15.2 | +12.5 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 49% | 33% | 8% | 11% | +23.4 | -21.0 | +1.2 | -3.5 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 78% | 12% | 5% | 5% | -6.7 | +31.1 | -26.4 | +2.1 |
| South 2 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 65% | 31% | 1% | 4% | -1.1 | +3.3 | -2.6 | +0.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi ron 5,200 from Daigo Hiroshi | 62% | 34% | 1% | 4% | +2.6 | -3.7 | -9.1 | +10.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 67% | 28% | 0% | 5% | -4.4 | +3.4 | +2.2 | -1.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 8,000 | 60% | 34% | 1% | 6% | -0.7 | -7.3 | -7.9 | +15.9 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 64% | 24% | 0% | 13% | -26.0 | +42.4 | -1.4 | -14.9 |