Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/7 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+66.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +41.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | +8.0 | -4.6 | -2.6 | -0.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 23% | 22% | 25% | -7.2 | +4.6 | -3.6 | +6.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 12,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 25% | 26% | 21% | 29% | +3.2 | +30.6 | -0.9 | -32.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 49% | 17% | 10% | +26.7 | -14.8 | -5.1 | -6.8 |
| East 3 | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 5,200 from Hiroshi Daigo | 47% | 32% | 15% | 7% | +0.8 | +3.7 | -17.1 | +12.6 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 48% | 35% | 6% | 11% | +23.6 | -22.5 | +1.3 | -2.5 |
| South 1 | Akina Mizuhara ron 12,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 78% | 12% | 6% | 5% | -6.3 | +29.8 | -24.8 | +1.3 |
| South 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 65% | 30% | 1% | 4% | -2.4 | +5.4 | -2.5 | -0.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa ron 5,200 from Hiroshi Daigo | 60% | 36% | 1% | 3% | +4.0 | -5.7 | -8.9 | +10.6 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 67% | 27% | 0% | 5% | -6.1 | +5.7 | +1.9 | -1.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 8,000 | 57% | 37% | 0% | 5% | -0.7 | -8.2 | -8.1 | +17.0 |
| South 4 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 8,000 | 61% | 25% | 0% | 14% | -24.8 | +41.2 | -1.2 | -15.2 |