Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/7 Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+67.8pt). The game was decided in East 2: Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 18,000, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +46.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -5.2 | -1.5 | +2.8 | +3.9 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 25% | 27% | 28% | -15.2 | +46.0 | -14.2 | -16.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 8% | 65% | 14% | 13% | -19.8 | -0.7 | +19.5 | +0.9 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 4% | 61% | 22% | 13% | +11.0 | +0.1 | -6.5 | -4.6 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 65% | 17% | 11% | -1.8 | +17.9 | -4.4 | -11.7 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 85% | 9% | 3% | +1.3 | -2.6 | -2.8 | +4.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,300 from Sayaka Kayamori | 4% | 83% | 9% | 4% | -3.0 | +5.1 | +1.6 | -3.7 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 1,300 from Daisuke Suzuki | 1% | 90% | 6% | 3% | +0.8 | +0.8 | -6.0 | +4.4 |
| South 3 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 94% | 3% | 3% | -11.7 | -16.4 | +40.0 | -11.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 68% | 30% | 2% | +4.4 | -4.4 | +3.8 | -3.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 0% | 61% | 37% | 2% | +4.3 | +17.4 | -10.9 | -10.8 |
| South 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Daisuke Suzuki | 0% | 88% | 11% | 1% | +8.6 | +4.9 | -7.5 | -5.9 |