Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/7 Game 2
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+67.8pt). The game was decided in East 2: Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 18,000, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +43.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 2,000 from Suzuki Yu | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -6.5 | +0.5 | +8.2 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 18,000 | 20% | 26% | 31% | 24% | -14.8 | +43.1 | -16.2 | -12.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 9% | 62% | 15% | 13% | -17.8 | +0.7 | +18.4 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 5,200 | 4% | 62% | 23% | 12% | +9.7 | +0.7 | -7.4 | -3.0 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 65% | 17% | 11% | -2.8 | +18.1 | -4.4 | -10.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 3% | 86% | 8% | 3% | +2.7 | -2.6 | -2.2 | +2.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,300 from Kayamori Sayaka | 3% | 84% | 9% | 4% | -3.3 | +5.4 | +0.9 | -3.0 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 1,300 from Suzuki Daisuke | 0% | 91% | 6% | 2% | -0.5 | -0.1 | -4.3 | +5.0 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 93% | 4% | 3% | -10.5 | -16.4 | +39.2 | -12.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 68% | 31% | 1% | +3.4 | -4.3 | +3.1 | -2.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 62% | 37% | 2% | +5.0 | +17.5 | -11.5 | -11.0 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Suzuki Daisuke | 0% | 89% | 11% | 1% | +8.6 | +4.9 | -6.8 | -6.6 |