Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/8 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+55.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +36.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -23.7 | +0.3 | +23.1 | +0.3 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 23% | 43% | 23% | +22.1 | -12.8 | -3.8 | -5.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 21% | 17% | 40% | 22% | +1.0 | -1.2 | +2.7 | -2.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 22% | 16% | 43% | 19% | +3.3 | -5.0 | +2.3 | -0.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 24% | 12% | 44% | 20% | +1.6 | -2.1 | -29.1 | +29.6 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Rumi ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 25% | 12% | 20% | 42% | +0.3 | +5.6 | +1.6 | -7.4 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Rumi ron 5,200 from Takamiya Mari | 26% | 15% | 22% | 36% | -20.2 | +17.9 | -1.1 | +3.4 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 26% | 21% | 40% | +32.9 | -17.2 | -9.6 | -6.1 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 37% | 14% | 16% | 34% | -9.6 | -8.4 | -18.9 | +36.8 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Rumi ron 2,600 from Kurosawa Saki | 12% | 4% | 2% | 82% | +0.2 | +5.5 | -12.1 | +6.4 |