Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/8 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+55.0pt). The game was decided in South 3: Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +38.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -26.0 | +0.3 | +25.7 | -0.1 |
| East 2 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 23% | 44% | 23% | +21.4 | -11.5 | -6.1 | -3.8 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 18% | 40% | 22% | +3.8 | -3.8 | +1.9 | -1.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 15% | 41% | 21% | +5.8 | -4.2 | +1.3 | -2.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 26% | 12% | 42% | 19% | -0.6 | -1.7 | -26.5 | +28.8 |
| East 4 | Rumi Nikaido ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 27% | 12% | 20% | 41% | -1.3 | +8.0 | -0.3 | -6.5 |
| South 1 | Rumi Nikaido ron 5,200 from Mari Takamiya | 26% | 17% | 21% | 35% | -19.3 | +15.5 | +0.3 | +3.5 |
| South 2 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 26% | 21% | 40% | +33.1 | -17.5 | -9.2 | -6.4 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 38% | 14% | 17% | 31% | -11.6 | -6.8 | -20.3 | +38.7 |
| South 4 | Rumi Nikaido ron 2,600 from Saki Kurosawa | 10% | 4% | 2% | 84% | +1.6 | +4.4 | -11.2 | +5.2 |