Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/8 Game 2
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+55.0pt). The game was decided in South 2: Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 18,000, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +53.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | +1.8 | 0.0 | +1.0 | -2.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 3,900 from Matsugase Takaya | 26% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -1.0 | -3.4 | +15.0 | -10.6 |
| East 2 | Matsugase Takaya ron 3,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 24% | 21% | 37% | 17% | -10.1 | -1.3 | +2.6 | +8.8 |
| East 3 | Draw | 19% | 20% | 40% | 22% | -4.3 | +7.3 | -2.6 | -0.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 7,800 | 15% | 25% | 38% | 22% | -6.5 | -10.3 | -9.0 | +25.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 4,000 | 12% | 18% | 29% | 41% | +11.0 | -2.6 | -2.6 | -5.9 |
| South 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 18% | 27% | 37% | -18.6 | -12.3 | +42.3 | -11.3 |
| South 2 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 18,000 | 3% | 8% | 72% | 17% | -15.6 | +53.2 | -19.9 | -17.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 44% | 43% | 12% | +3.8 | +2.8 | -1.6 | -5.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 52% | 38% | 8% | -11.4 | -14.2 | -31.9 | +57.5 |
| South 4 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,600 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 28% | 9% | 63% | -4.0 | +36.4 | -7.5 | -24.9 |