Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
3/11 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+57.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +28.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Futoshi Watanabe | 24% | 26% | 24% | 27% | -2.5 | +6.4 | -3.7 | -0.1 |
| East 2 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 31% | 22% | 25% | -6.3 | -18.1 | +31.6 | -7.1 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Okada ron 3,900 from Futoshi Watanabe | 16% | 17% | 47% | 20% | -0.6 | -1.4 | -9.1 | +11.1 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 18% | 16% | 38% | 28% | +0.5 | +28.7 | -4.3 | -24.9 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 17% | 37% | 33% | 13% | -12.1 | +21.6 | -5.0 | -4.5 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 3,000 | 7% | 61% | 24% | 8% | -3.1 | +9.7 | -4.8 | -1.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 74% | 16% | 6% | -5.6 | -3.5 | +13.8 | -4.7 |
| South 3 | Yuumi Uotani ron 3,200 from Futoshi Watanabe | 2% | 70% | 23% | 5% | +10.0 | +8.5 | -12.4 | -6.0 |
| South 4 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 89% | 6% | 4% | +4.6 | +4.6 | +1.7 | -11.0 |