Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2023-24 Regular Season

3/11 Game 2

Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+57.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +26.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Sasaki Hisato● Uotani Yuumi● Watanabe Futoshi● Okada Sayaka0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Sasaki● Uotani● Watanabe● Okada
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultUotani Yuumi
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Watanabe Futoshi
1st-place chance
Okada Sayaka
1st-place chance
Uotani Yuumi
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
Watanabe Futoshi
Expected pt change
Okada Sayaka
Expected pt change
East 1Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Watanabe Futoshi26%25%24%25%-2.7+5.0-4.6+2.4
East 2Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,00023%28%22%27%-7.0-16.1+31.0-7.9
East 3Okada Sayaka ron 3,900 from Watanabe Futoshi18%16%46%20%-0.7+1.6-10.4+9.5
East 4Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka18%18%36%28%+0.1+26.7-0.8-25.9
South 1Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,00018%36%34%12%-12.0+22.2-7.4-2.8
South 2Sasaki Hisato tsumo 3,0007%62%22%9%-2.8+8.0-2.5-2.7
South 2, 1 honbaWatanabe Futoshi tsumo 2,0004%71%19%7%-4.1-2.3+11.4-5.1
South 3Uotani Yuumi ron 3,200 from Watanabe Futoshi2%70%23%5%+8.1+8.8-12.5-4.5
South 4Uotani Yuumi tsumo 2,7001%89%5%4%+4.3+4.2+2.7-11.3

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)